AQs
74.00%
Wins 73.27%, ties 1.45%
QJo
26.00%
Wins 25.28%, ties 1.45%
AQs against QJo: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AQs | 73.274 | 1.447 | 25.279 | 73.998 |
| QJo | 25.279 | 1.447 | 73.274 | 26.002 |
The matchup pits a suited hand against an offsuit hand. Because the hands share one rank, the one with the higher kicker is ahead when that rank pairs and the other hand is mostly drawing.
AQs is well ahead, and QJo needs a specific kind of board to catch up. The tie share is 1.45%: on those boards the pot is chopped and neither hand wins outright.
By strength against a random hand, AQs holds place 10 of 169 and QJo holds place 39.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| AQs | 45,168,000 | 892,000 | 15,583,000 |
| QJo | 15,583,000 | 892,000 | 45,168,000 |
36 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AQs | 2.846 | 1.365 | 3.956 | 0.351 |
| QJo | 0.351 | 3.956 | 1.365 | 2.846 |
In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
By flop texture, AQs' equity runs from 66.38% on monotone flops up to 85.00% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). AQs stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.
| Flop | Share of flops | AQs wins | Ties | QJo wins | AQs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.177 | 68.995 | 1.245 | 29.760 | 69.617 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.771 | 84.347 | 1.311 | 14.342 | 85.002 |
| Two-tone | 46.527 | 73.165 | 1.166 | 25.669 | 73.748 |
| Monotone | 5.192 | 64.979 | 2.811 | 32.210 | 66.384 |
| Paired | 17.333 | 76.812 | 2.123 | 21.065 | 77.873 |
Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Each hand has a baseline against a random hand: 66.21% for AQs, 58.14% for QJo. Here the change is +7.79 and -32.14 points.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AQs, all flops | 73.998 | 66.209 | +7.789 | 1.11764 |
| AQs, rainbow, ten or higher | 69.617 | 66.209 | +3.408 | 1.05147 |
| AQs, rainbow, nine or lower | 85.002 | 66.209 | +18.793 | 1.28384 |
| AQs, two-tone | 73.748 | 66.209 | +7.539 | 1.11387 |
| AQs, monotone | 66.384 | 66.209 | +0.175 | 1.00264 |
| AQs, paired | 77.873 | 66.209 | +11.664 | 1.17617 |
| QJo, all flops | 26.002 | 58.135 | -32.133 | 0.44727 |
| QJo, rainbow, ten or higher | 30.383 | 58.135 | -27.752 | 0.52263 |
| QJo, rainbow, nine or lower | 14.998 | 58.135 | -43.137 | 0.25799 |
| QJo, two-tone | 26.252 | 58.135 | -31.883 | 0.45157 |
| QJo, monotone | 33.616 | 58.135 | -24.519 | 0.57824 |
| QJo, paired | 22.127 | 58.135 | -36.008 | 0.38061 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Does suit overlap move the numbers? AQs has 73.75% when the hands share a suit and 74.12% when they do not. AQs does better with no shared suit, by 0.37 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | AQs wins | Ties | QJo wins | AQs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 12 | 33.33 | 72.986 | 1.528 | 25.486 | 73.750 |
| No shared suit | 24 | 66.67 | 73.418 | 1.407 | 25.175 | 74.122 |
How often this matchup comes up
This page stands for 36 specific-card matchups (0.0022% of 1,624,350 ordered deals), or 72 once you count the seats both ways (0.0044%).
A worked example
Worked example: both players commit $100, so $200 sits in the middle. Over every board, AQs' average share is $148.00 (a gain of $48.00) and QJo's is $52.00 (a loss of $48.00).
Out of 1,000 deals you should see around 733 outright wins for AQs, 253 for QJo, and 14 split pots.
The same matchup from the other side
The reversed view, QJo against AQs, shows 26.00% for QJo and 74.00% for AQs. It is the same count, so it redirects here.
Keep exploring
Try AsQs against QhJd in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.
How this was computed
The page is built from a full enumeration: 1,712,304 boards, every suit pattern of the 36 specific deals, both seven-card hands evaluated. A tie is worth half a win to each hand, and a board is tallied under each of its ten possible flops for the texture rows.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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