ATo vs 86s: preflop equity

If ATo and 86s get all the chips in before the flop, ATo owns 60.13% of the pot in the long run and 86s owns 39.87%.

ATo

60.13%

Wins 59.93%, ties 0.41%

86s

39.87%

Wins 39.66%, ties 0.41%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

ATo against 86s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for ATo against 86s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
ATo59.9270.41339.66060.134
86s39.6600.41359.92739.866

We compare an offsuit hand with a suited hand. Neither hand shares a rank with the other, so this is a contest of high cards, connection and suits.

ATo is ahead, but 86s is far from dead: it takes 397 of every 1,000 deals outright. Split pots make up 0.41% of the boards, and both equity figures count them as half a win each.

Ranked by equity against a random hand, ATo is number 19 of the 169 starting hands and 86s is number 110.

Boards behind the percentages: 82,190,592 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
ATo49,254,000339,00032,597,000
86s32,597,000339,00049,254,000

48 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.

ATo against 86s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
ATo1.5081.6692.5210.663
86s0.6632.5211.6691.508

In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

If you know the kind of flop that came, the numbers shift: ATo holds 68.03% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better and 34.88% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). 86s takes over on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), so the favorite before the flop is the underdog on those boards.

ATo against 86s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsATo winsTies86s winsATo equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.71767.9490.16631.88568.032
Rainbow, nine or lower6.31334.6120.52664.86234.875
Two-tone46.66758.3780.22641.39658.491
Monotone5.21257.1812.34940.47058.356
Paired17.09162.7470.64936.60463.071

Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.

Compared with a random hand

Each hand has a baseline against a random hand: 62.72% for ATo, 46.24% for 86s. Here the change is -2.59 and -6.37 points.

ATo and 86s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
ATo, all flops60.13462.722-2.5880.95874
ATo, rainbow, ten or higher68.03262.722+5.3101.08466
ATo, rainbow, nine or lower34.87562.722-27.8470.55602
ATo, two-tone58.49162.722-4.2310.93254
ATo, monotone58.35662.722-4.3660.93039
ATo, paired63.07162.722+0.3491.00556
86s, all flops39.86646.243-6.3770.86210
86s, rainbow, ten or higher31.96846.243-14.2750.69130
86s, rainbow, nine or lower65.12546.243+18.8821.40832
86s, two-tone41.50946.243-4.7340.89763
86s, monotone41.64446.243-4.5990.90055
86s, paired36.92946.243-9.3140.79859

Does a shared suit matter?

Two kinds of deal exist here. In 24 of them the hands share a suit and ATo holds 60.83%. In 24 they do not, and it holds 59.44%. ATo does better with a shared suit, by 1.39 points.

ATo against 86s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsATo winsTies86s winsATo equity
Share a suit2450.0060.5990.45438.94760.826
No shared suit2450.0059.2560.37240.37259.442

How often this matchup comes up

This page stands for 48 specific-card matchups (0.0030% of 1,624,350 ordered deals), or 96 once you count the seats both ways (0.0059%).

A worked example

Take a $200 pot built from $100 each. ATo's equity of 60.13% is worth $120.26, a $20.26 edge, and 86s' 39.87% is worth $79.74, which is $20.26 under its stake.

Over a long run, 1,000 deals split into about 599 for ATo, 397 for 86s and 4 tied.

The same matchup from the other side

One page covers both views. From 86s' side the equity is 39.87%, and from ATo's side it is 60.13%.

AsTh against 8d6d is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.

How this was computed

The page is built from a full enumeration: 1,712,304 boards, every suit pattern of the 48 specific deals, both seven-card hands evaluated. A tie is worth half a win to each hand, and a board is tallied under each of its ten possible flops for the texture rows.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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