J9s
62.43%
Wins 61.77%, ties 1.32%
54s
37.57%
Wins 36.91%, ties 1.32%
J9s against 54s: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J9s | 61.770 | 1.323 | 36.907 | 62.431 |
| 54s | 36.907 | 1.323 | 61.770 | 37.569 |
Both hands are suited hands: J9s and 54s. With no overlap in ranks, every card that pairs one hand is a card that does not pair the other.
That is a modest edge, the kind that shows up over many hands and is easy to miss in one. Of every 100 boards, about 1.32 are split pots, and the equity figures already include them.
In the ranking of all 169 starting hands, J9s is number 55 and 54s is number 136.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| J9s | 16,923,000 | 362,000 | 10,111,000 |
| 54s | 10,111,000 | 362,000 | 16,923,000 |
The board total is exact, 16 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J9s | 1.662 | 1.619 | 2.710 | 0.602 |
| 54s | 0.602 | 2.710 | 1.619 | 1.662 |
The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.
Who is ahead on which flops
Across the five flop textures J9s' equity moves by 19.81 points, from 46.65% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) to 66.46% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better. J9s is the favorite overall but falls behind on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower).
| Flop | Share of flops | J9s wins | Ties | 54s wins | J9s equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 25.220 | 66.082 | 0.757 | 33.161 | 66.461 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 5.689 | 46.294 | 0.716 | 52.990 | 46.652 |
| Two-tone | 46.727 | 61.594 | 0.688 | 37.718 | 61.938 |
| Monotone | 5.273 | 58.065 | 3.797 | 38.138 | 59.963 |
| Paired | 17.091 | 62.179 | 3.333 | 34.488 | 63.846 |
A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Against one random hand instead, J9s holds 55.66% and 54s holds 41.45%. Facing each other changes that by +6.77 points for J9s and -3.88 points for 54s.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J9s, all flops | 62.431 | 55.662 | +6.769 | 1.12161 |
| J9s, rainbow, ten or higher | 66.461 | 55.662 | +10.799 | 1.19401 |
| J9s, rainbow, nine or lower | 46.652 | 55.662 | -9.010 | 0.83813 |
| J9s, two-tone | 61.938 | 55.662 | +6.276 | 1.11275 |
| J9s, monotone | 59.963 | 55.662 | +4.301 | 1.07727 |
| J9s, paired | 63.846 | 55.662 | +8.184 | 1.14703 |
| 54s, all flops | 37.569 | 41.453 | -3.884 | 0.90630 |
| 54s, rainbow, ten or higher | 33.539 | 41.453 | -7.914 | 0.80908 |
| 54s, rainbow, nine or lower | 53.348 | 41.453 | +11.895 | 1.28695 |
| 54s, two-tone | 38.062 | 41.453 | -3.391 | 0.91820 |
| 54s, monotone | 40.037 | 41.453 | -1.416 | 0.96584 |
| 54s, paired | 36.154 | 41.453 | -5.299 | 0.87217 |
Does a shared suit matter?
The suit split reads 64.67% for J9s with a shared suit and 61.69% without one. J9s does better with a shared suit, by 2.98 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | J9s wins | Ties | 54s wins | J9s equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 4 | 25.00 | 63.945 | 1.445 | 34.610 | 64.668 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 75.00 | 61.044 | 1.283 | 37.673 | 61.685 |
How often this matchup comes up
Exactly 16 specific deals fit this matchup in one seat order, which is 0.0010% of 1,624,350; both orders together give 32, or 0.0020%.
A worked example
A $100 all-in from each player makes a $200 pot, and the exact equity says J9s gets $124.86 of it on average and 54s gets $75.14.
In 1,000 deals of exactly this matchup, expect about 618 won outright by J9s, about 369 won outright by 54s and about 13 split.
The same matchup from the other side
54s against J9s adds nothing new: it is 37.57% for 54s and 62.43% for J9s, the same figures reversed.
Keep exploring
Open the calculator with Js9s against 5h4h already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.
How this was computed
The figures are counted, not estimated: 1,712,304 boards for every suit pattern of the 16 specific deals, with both seven-card hands compared each time. Equity gives half a win for a tie. For the flop rows, a board is counted once under each of the ten flops inside it.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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