JTo
61.62%
Wins 61.02%, ties 1.19%
43s
38.38%
Wins 37.79%, ties 1.19%
JTo against 43s: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JTo | 61.024 | 1.185 | 37.791 | 61.617 |
| 43s | 37.791 | 1.185 | 61.024 | 38.383 |
We compare an offsuit hand with a suited hand. With no overlap in ranks, every card that pairs one hand is a card that does not pair the other.
The lead is steady rather than large, and the flop still has plenty of say in who wins. 1.19% of boards are ties, so the equity of each hand is its win rate plus half of that.
By strength against a random hand, JTo holds place 57 of 169 and 43s holds place 150.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| JTo | 50,156,000 | 974,000 | 31,061,000 |
| 43s | 31,061,000 | 974,000 | 50,156,000 |
The board total is exact, 48 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JTo | 1.605 | 1.639 | 2.646 | 0.623 |
| 43s | 0.623 | 2.646 | 1.639 | 1.605 |
The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
By flop texture, JTo's equity runs from 39.47% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) up to 69.25% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better. On low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) the numbers flip and 43s is the one ahead.
| Flop | Share of flops | JTo wins | Ties | 43s wins | JTo equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 24.717 | 68.929 | 0.644 | 30.427 | 69.251 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 6.313 | 39.102 | 0.736 | 60.162 | 39.470 |
| Two-tone | 46.667 | 59.933 | 0.628 | 39.439 | 60.247 |
| Monotone | 5.212 | 58.343 | 2.789 | 38.868 | 59.738 |
| Paired | 17.091 | 61.489 | 3.164 | 35.347 | 63.071 |
A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Each hand has a baseline against a random hand: 55.25% for JTo, 38.64% for 43s. Here the change is +6.37 and -0.26 points.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JTo, all flops | 61.617 | 55.248 | +6.369 | 1.11528 |
| JTo, rainbow, ten or higher | 69.251 | 55.248 | +14.003 | 1.25346 |
| JTo, rainbow, nine or lower | 39.470 | 55.248 | -15.778 | 0.71442 |
| JTo, two-tone | 60.247 | 55.248 | +4.999 | 1.09048 |
| JTo, monotone | 59.738 | 55.248 | +4.490 | 1.08127 |
| JTo, paired | 63.071 | 55.248 | +7.823 | 1.14160 |
| 43s, all flops | 38.383 | 38.642 | -0.259 | 0.99330 |
| 43s, rainbow, ten or higher | 30.749 | 38.642 | -7.893 | 0.79574 |
| 43s, rainbow, nine or lower | 60.530 | 38.642 | +21.888 | 1.56643 |
| 43s, two-tone | 39.753 | 38.642 | +1.111 | 1.02875 |
| 43s, monotone | 40.262 | 38.642 | +1.620 | 1.04192 |
| 43s, paired | 36.929 | 38.642 | -1.713 | 0.95567 |
Does a shared suit matter?
When the hands share a suit, JTo holds 62.34%; when they do not, it holds 60.89%. JTo does better with a shared suit, by 1.45 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | JTo wins | Ties | 43s wins | JTo equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 24 | 50.00 | 61.729 | 1.223 | 37.048 | 62.341 |
| No shared suit | 24 | 50.00 | 60.319 | 1.147 | 38.534 | 60.893 |
How often this matchup comes up
Counting specific cards, JTo against 43s appears in 48 of the 1,624,350 ordered heads-up deals (0.0030%), and in 96 when the seats are swapped too (0.0059%).
A worked example
Try it with money: two players each put in $100 and the whole board runs out every possible way. JTo averages $123.24 from the $200, up $23.24; 43s averages $76.76, down $23.24.
Out of 1,000 deals you should see around 610 outright wins for JTo, 378 for 43s, and 12 split pots.
The same matchup from the other side
43s versus JTo is this same page seen from the other hand: 38.38% for 43s, 61.62% for JTo.
Keep exploring
JsTh against 4d3d is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.
How this was computed
We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 48 specific JTo against 43s deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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