JTo
61.73%
Wins 61.16%, ties 1.14%
65s
38.27%
Wins 37.70%, ties 1.14%
JTo against 65s: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JTo | 61.163 | 1.143 | 37.694 | 61.734 |
| 65s | 37.694 | 1.143 | 61.163 | 38.266 |
The first hand is an offsuit hand; the second is a suited hand. With no overlap in ranks, every card that pairs one hand is a card that does not pair the other.
A 23.46 point lead is real, and 65s still takes about 377 of every 1,000 deals outright. Ties are part of the picture: 1.14% of boards end in a split pot, and each side counts that as half a win.
Place 57 of 169 belongs to JTo and place 128 belongs to 65s in the ranking against a random hand.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| JTo | 50,270,000 | 939,000 | 30,981,000 |
| 65s | 30,981,000 | 939,000 | 50,270,000 |
The board total is exact, 48 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JTo | 1.613 | 1.635 | 2.653 | 0.620 |
| 65s | 0.620 | 2.653 | 1.635 | 1.613 |
The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
Across the five flop textures JTo's equity moves by 31.63 points, from 38.27% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) to 69.90% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better. On low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) the numbers flip and 65s is the one ahead.
| Flop | Share of flops | JTo wins | Ties | 65s wins | JTo equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 24.717 | 69.594 | 0.619 | 29.787 | 69.903 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 6.313 | 37.972 | 0.594 | 61.434 | 38.269 |
| Two-tone | 46.667 | 60.188 | 0.583 | 39.229 | 60.480 |
| Monotone | 5.212 | 58.447 | 2.653 | 38.900 | 59.774 |
| Paired | 17.091 | 61.024 | 3.176 | 35.800 | 62.612 |
Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Compared with a random opponent, this matchup shifts JTo from 55.25% by +6.48 points and 65s from 43.13% by -4.86 points.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JTo, all flops | 61.734 | 55.248 | +6.486 | 1.11740 |
| JTo, rainbow, ten or higher | 69.903 | 55.248 | +14.655 | 1.26526 |
| JTo, rainbow, nine or lower | 38.269 | 55.248 | -16.979 | 0.69268 |
| JTo, two-tone | 60.480 | 55.248 | +5.232 | 1.09470 |
| JTo, monotone | 59.774 | 55.248 | +4.526 | 1.08192 |
| JTo, paired | 62.612 | 55.248 | +7.364 | 1.13329 |
| 65s, all flops | 38.266 | 43.133 | -4.867 | 0.88716 |
| 65s, rainbow, ten or higher | 30.097 | 43.133 | -13.036 | 0.69777 |
| 65s, rainbow, nine or lower | 61.731 | 43.133 | +18.598 | 1.43118 |
| 65s, two-tone | 39.520 | 43.133 | -3.613 | 0.91624 |
| 65s, monotone | 40.226 | 43.133 | -2.907 | 0.93260 |
| 65s, paired | 37.388 | 43.133 | -5.745 | 0.86681 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Does suit overlap move the numbers? JTo has 62.46% when the hands share a suit and 61.01% when they do not. JTo does better with a shared suit, by 1.45 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | JTo wins | Ties | 65s wins | JTo equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 24 | 50.00 | 61.865 | 1.187 | 36.948 | 62.459 |
| No shared suit | 24 | 50.00 | 60.460 | 1.100 | 38.440 | 61.010 |
How often this matchup comes up
Counting specific cards, JTo against 65s appears in 48 of the 1,624,350 ordered heads-up deals (0.0030%), and in 96 when the seats are swapped too (0.0059%).
A worked example
Try it with money: two players each put in $100 and the whole board runs out every possible way. JTo averages $123.46 from the $200, up $23.46; 65s averages $76.54, down $23.46.
Out of 1,000 deals you should see around 612 outright wins for JTo, 377 for 65s, and 11 split pots.
The same matchup from the other side
Read it from the other side: 65s against JTo is the same matchup with the numbers swapped, so 65s holds 38.27% and JTo holds 61.73%. That address sends you back to this page.
Keep exploring
Try JsTh against 6d5d in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.
How this was computed
Each figure is a complete count over boards. Take the 48 specific deals, group them by suit pattern, deal all 1,712,304 boards against each, and compare the two seven-card hands. Equity counts a tie as half a win; the flop rows use every one of a board's ten flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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