JTs
70.11%
Wins 67.68%, ties 4.85%
T9s
29.89%
Wins 27.47%, ties 4.85%
JTs against T9s: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JTs | 67.682 | 4.848 | 27.470 | 70.106 |
| T9s | 27.470 | 4.848 | 67.682 | 29.894 |
The matchup is suited hands on both sides, JTs against T9s. The two hands share a rank, and the one with the better other card dominates: it wins most kicker battles when that shared rank hits.
JTs is the clear favorite, though T9s gets there on roughly one board in 3. Ties are 4.85% of the outcomes here; each tied board gives both hands half the pot.
In the ranking of all 169 starting hands, JTs is number 45 and T9s is number 64.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| JTs | 13,907,000 | 996,000 | 5,644,000 |
| T9s | 5,644,000 | 996,000 | 13,907,000 |
12 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JTs | 2.345 | 1.477 | 3.640 | 0.426 |
| T9s | 0.426 | 3.640 | 1.477 | 2.345 |
The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.
Who is ahead on which flops
Rainbow flops topped by a ten or better are the best for JTs (74.60%); low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) are the worst (62.86%). JTs stays ahead on all five textures.
| Flop | Share of flops | JTs wins | Ties | T9s wins | JTs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.867 | 72.161 | 4.880 | 22.959 | 74.601 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.042 | 62.254 | 1.220 | 36.526 | 62.864 |
| Two-tone | 46.543 | 67.213 | 3.727 | 29.060 | 69.077 |
| Monotone | 5.215 | 60.415 | 5.967 | 33.618 | 63.399 |
| Paired | 17.333 | 67.165 | 8.953 | 23.882 | 71.641 |
Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.
Compared with a random hand
A random hand would give JTs 57.53% and T9s 54.03%. Against each other the change is +12.58 points for JTs and -24.14 for T9s.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JTs, all flops | 70.106 | 57.528 | +12.578 | 1.21864 |
| JTs, rainbow, ten or higher | 74.601 | 57.528 | +17.073 | 1.29678 |
| JTs, rainbow, nine or lower | 62.864 | 57.528 | +5.336 | 1.09275 |
| JTs, two-tone | 69.077 | 57.528 | +11.549 | 1.20075 |
| JTs, monotone | 63.399 | 57.528 | +5.871 | 1.10205 |
| JTs, paired | 71.641 | 57.528 | +14.113 | 1.24532 |
| T9s, all flops | 29.894 | 54.028 | -24.134 | 0.55331 |
| T9s, rainbow, ten or higher | 25.399 | 54.028 | -28.629 | 0.47011 |
| T9s, rainbow, nine or lower | 37.136 | 54.028 | -16.892 | 0.68735 |
| T9s, two-tone | 30.923 | 54.028 | -23.105 | 0.57235 |
| T9s, monotone | 36.601 | 54.028 | -17.427 | 0.67745 |
| T9s, paired | 28.359 | 54.028 | -25.669 | 0.52489 |
Does a shared suit matter?
The hands cannot hold a suit in common here, which leaves a single case and a single number: 70.11% for JTs.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | JTs wins | Ties | T9s wins | JTs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 0 | 0.00 | not possible | not possible | not possible | not possible |
| No shared suit | 12 | 100.00 | 67.682 | 4.848 | 27.470 | 70.106 |
How often this matchup comes up
How often does it happen? 12 of the 1,624,350 ordered deals (0.0007%) are JTs against T9s, and 24 (0.0015%) if either hand may sit in either seat.
A worked example
Put $100 each into a $200 pot and deal every board once: JTs averages $140.22 back, ahead of its $100 by $40.22, while T9s averages $59.78, short of its $100 by $40.22.
Think in thousands: about 677 of 1,000 go to JTs, about 275 go to T9s, and about 48 are chopped.
The same matchup from the other side
If you came looking for T9s against JTs, the numbers are the same with the hands swapped: 29.89% and 70.11%.
Keep exploring
Try JsTs against Th9h in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.
How this was computed
We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 12 specific JTs against T9s deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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