K9o vs 22: preflop equity

Over all 1,712,304 boards that can follow this deal, 22 finishes with 51.73% of the pot and K9o with 48.27%.

K9o

48.27%

Wins 47.83%, ties 0.88%

22

51.73%

Wins 51.29%, ties 0.88%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

K9o against 22: the numbers

Exact preflop results for K9o against 22, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
K9o47.8340.87651.29048.272
2251.2900.87647.83451.728

The first hand is an offsuit hand; the second is a pocket pair. A pair against two higher cards is the classic race: the pair is usually a small favorite or close to even, and each overcard that pairs is a way to take the lead.

That is a slim edge: neither hand is far ahead. Ties are part of the picture: 0.88% of boards end in a split pot, and each side counts that as half a win.

The hand ranking puts K9o at 40 and 22 at 87 out of 169 starting hands.

Boards behind the percentages: 123,285,888 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
K9o58,973,0001,080,00063,233,000
2263,233,0001,080,00058,973,000

Exact total: 72 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

K9o against 22 read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
K9o0.9332.0911.9501.072
221.0721.9502.0910.933

In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

By flop texture, 22's equity runs from 49.21% on monotone flops up to 59.52% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). The lead reverses on monotone flops: there K9o is the favorite even though 22 is ahead overall.

K9o against 22 by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsK9o winsTies22 winsK9o equity
Rainbow, ten or higher25.34149.1810.42250.39749.392
Rainbow, nine or lower5.68939.9201.11458.96640.477
Two-tone46.48547.7870.53251.68148.053
Monotone5.15149.4002.77547.82550.787
Paired17.33448.1261.81850.05649.035

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Relative to a random opponent, K9o changes by -9.54 points (baseline 57.81%) and 22 by +1.40 points (baseline 50.33%).

K9o and 22 here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
K9o, all flops48.27257.812-9.5400.83498
K9o, rainbow, ten or higher49.39257.812-8.4200.85436
K9o, rainbow, nine or lower40.47757.812-17.3350.70015
K9o, two-tone48.05357.812-9.7590.83119
K9o, monotone50.78757.812-7.0250.87849
K9o, paired49.03557.812-8.7770.84818
22, all flops51.72850.334+1.3941.02769
22, rainbow, ten or higher50.60850.334+0.2741.00544
22, rainbow, nine or lower59.52350.334+9.1891.18256
22, two-tone51.94750.334+1.6131.03205
22, monotone49.21350.334-1.1210.97773
22, paired50.96550.334+0.6311.01254

Does a shared suit matter?

Looking only at deals where the hands share a suit, 22 has 51.65%; looking only at deals where they do not, 52.13%. 22 does better with no shared suit, by 0.48 points.

K9o against 22 by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsK9o winsTies22 winsK9o equity
Share a suit6083.3347.9120.88351.20548.353
No shared suit1216.6747.4480.84051.71247.868

How often this matchup comes up

Exactly 72 specific deals fit this matchup in one seat order, which is 0.0044% of 1,624,350; both orders together give 144, or 0.0089%.

A worked example

Put $100 each into a $200 pot and deal every board once: 22 averages $103.46 back, ahead of its $100 by $3.46, while K9o averages $96.54, short of its $100 by $3.46.

Run 1,000 deals and the tally comes out near 513 for 22, 478 for K9o and 9 ties.

The same matchup from the other side

The reversed view, 22 against K9o, shows 51.73% for 22 and 48.27% for K9o. It is the same count, so it redirects here.

Ks9h against 2d2c is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.

How this was computed

Nothing here is simulated. The 72 deals of K9o against 22 fall into a few suit patterns, each dealt against all 1,712,304 boards, with both best five-card hands compared on every board. Ties give each hand half a win, and the flop rows count a board under each of its ten flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

Bring your own hands to a session

Review the spots you actually play against these numbers in a Game Assessment, and leave with a one-page written plan.

Book a session