K9o vs Q9s: preflop equity

The exact count puts K9o at 69.55% and Q9s at 30.45% when the two hands see all five board cards.

K9o

69.55%

Wins 68.07%, ties 2.95%

Q9s

30.45%

Wins 28.98%, ties 2.95%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

K9o against Q9s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for K9o against Q9s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
K9o68.0712.94728.98269.545
Q9s28.9822.94768.07130.455

K9o, an offsuit hand, plays Q9s, a suited hand. Because the hands share one rank, the one with the higher kicker is ahead when that rank pairs and the other hand is mostly drawing.

K9o is well ahead, and Q9s needs a specific kind of board to catch up. About 2.95% of boards chop the pot, which is why equity sits slightly above the win figure for both hands.

In the ranking of all 169 starting hands, K9o is number 40 and Q9s is number 43.

Boards behind the percentages: 61,642,944 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
K9o41,961,0001,817,00017,865,000
Q9s17,865,0001,817,00041,961,000

The total is exact: 36 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.

K9o against Q9s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
K9o2.2841.4693.4500.438
Q9s0.4383.4501.4692.284

The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Break the boards down by their first three cards and K9o is strongest on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) (82.08%) and weakest on monotone flops (64.93%). K9o stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

K9o against Q9s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsK9o winsTiesQ9s winsK9o equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.63467.4982.17230.33068.584
Rainbow, nine or lower6.31479.8514.45115.69882.077
Two-tone46.52766.5692.45530.97667.797
Monotone5.19263.0263.80333.17164.928
Paired17.33370.1384.56625.29672.421

Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.

Compared with a random hand

A random hand would give K9o 57.81% and Q9s 57.66%. Against each other the change is +11.74 points for K9o and -27.21 for Q9s.

K9o and Q9s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
K9o, all flops69.54557.812+11.7331.20295
K9o, rainbow, ten or higher68.58457.812+10.7721.18633
K9o, rainbow, nine or lower82.07757.812+24.2651.41972
K9o, two-tone67.79757.812+9.9851.17272
K9o, monotone64.92857.812+7.1161.12309
K9o, paired72.42157.812+14.6091.25270
Q9s, all flops30.45557.664-27.2090.52815
Q9s, rainbow, ten or higher31.41657.664-26.2480.54481
Q9s, rainbow, nine or lower17.92357.664-39.7410.31082
Q9s, two-tone32.20357.664-25.4610.55846
Q9s, monotone35.07257.664-22.5920.60821
Q9s, paired27.57957.664-30.0850.47827

Does a shared suit matter?

Two kinds of deal exist here. In 12 of them the hands share a suit and K9o holds 70.61%. In 24 they do not, and it holds 69.01%. K9o does better with a shared suit, by 1.60 points.

K9o against Q9s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsK9o winsTiesQ9s winsK9o equity
Share a suit1233.3369.0923.03127.87770.608
No shared suit2466.6767.5612.90529.53469.013

How often this matchup comes up

This page stands for 36 specific-card matchups (0.0022% of 1,624,350 ordered deals), or 72 once you count the seats both ways (0.0044%).

A worked example

Say each player puts $100 in before the flop, making a $200 pot. On average K9o takes back $139.10 of it, which is $39.10 more than it put in, and Q9s takes back $60.90, $39.10 less than it put in.

Think in thousands: about 681 of 1,000 go to K9o, about 290 go to Q9s, and about 29 are chopped.

The same matchup from the other side

One page covers both views. From Q9s' side the equity is 30.45%, and from K9o's side it is 69.55%.

Open the calculator with Ks9h against Qd9d already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.

How this was computed

The page is built from a full enumeration: 1,712,304 boards, every suit pattern of the 36 specific deals, both seven-card hands evaluated. A tie is worth half a win to each hand, and a board is tallied under each of its ten possible flops for the texture rows.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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