K9s vs 65s: preflop equity

Dealt all in against each other, K9s takes 61.54% of the pot on average and 65s takes the other 38.46%.

K9s

61.54%

Wins 61.18%, ties 0.72%

65s

38.46%

Wins 38.10%, ties 0.72%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

K9s against 65s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for K9s against 65s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
K9s61.1830.71638.10161.541
65s38.1010.71661.18338.459

K9s meets 65s, and both are suited hands. With no overlap in ranks, every card that pairs one hand is a card that does not pair the other.

The lead is steady rather than large, and the flop still has plenty of say in who wins. 0.72% of boards are ties, so the equity of each hand is its win rate plus half of that.

Among the 169 starting hands, K9s is number 29 and 65s is number 128 by strength against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 27,396,864 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
K9s16,762,000196,00010,438,000
65s10,438,000196,00016,762,000

16 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.

K9s against 65s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
K9s1.6001.6342.6250.625
65s0.6252.6251.6341.600

The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

If you know the kind of flop that came, the numbers shift: K9s holds 66.03% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better and 41.77% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). 65s is ahead on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), even though it trails K9s when every flop is counted.

K9s against 65s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsK9s winsTies65s winsK9s equity
Rainbow, ten or higher25.22065.8640.32633.81066.027
Rainbow, nine or lower5.68941.4350.67057.89541.770
Two-tone46.72760.6240.35839.01860.803
Monotone5.27357.2313.52339.24658.992
Paired17.09163.5961.41734.98764.305

Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.

Compared with a random hand

Against one random hand instead, K9s holds 59.99% and 65s holds 43.13%. Facing each other changes that by +1.55 points for K9s and -4.67 points for 65s.

K9s and 65s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
K9s, all flops61.54159.988+1.5531.02589
K9s, rainbow, ten or higher66.02759.988+6.0391.10067
K9s, rainbow, nine or lower41.77059.988-18.2180.69631
K9s, two-tone60.80359.988+0.8151.01359
K9s, monotone58.99259.988-0.9960.98340
K9s, paired64.30559.988+4.3171.07196
65s, all flops38.45943.133-4.6740.89164
65s, rainbow, ten or higher33.97343.133-9.1600.78763
65s, rainbow, nine or lower58.23043.133+15.0971.35001
65s, two-tone39.19743.133-3.9360.90875
65s, monotone41.00843.133-2.1250.95073
65s, paired35.69543.133-7.4380.82756

Does a shared suit matter?

Looking only at deals where the hands share a suit, K9s has 63.71%; looking only at deals where they do not, 60.82%. K9s does better with a shared suit, by 2.89 points.

K9s against 65s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsK9s winsTies65s winsK9s equity
Share a suit425.0063.3120.80435.88463.714
No shared suit1275.0060.4730.68638.84160.816

How often this matchup comes up

Exactly 16 specific deals fit this matchup in one seat order, which is 0.0010% of 1,624,350; both orders together give 32, or 0.0020%.

A worked example

Worked example: both players commit $100, so $200 sits in the middle. Over every board, K9s' average share is $123.08 (a gain of $23.08) and 65s' is $76.92 (a loss of $23.08).

A thousand deals look like this: K9s takes 612, 65s takes 381, 7 are ties.

The same matchup from the other side

Read it from the other side: 65s against K9s is the same matchup with the numbers swapped, so 65s holds 38.46% and K9s holds 61.54%. That address sends you back to this page.

Try Ks9s against 6h5h in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.

How this was computed

This is an exact count with no sampling. For the 16 ways to deal one K9s and one 65s without reusing a card, grouped by suit pattern, every one of the 1,712,304 possible boards is dealt and both seven-card hands are compared. A tie counts as half a win in the equity column, and each board is counted once under each of its ten three-card flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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