KJo vs 75s: preflop equity

The exact count puts KJo at 60.15% and 75s at 39.85% when the two hands see all five board cards.

KJo

60.15%

Wins 59.81%, ties 0.67%

75s

39.85%

Wins 39.52%, ties 0.67%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

KJo against 75s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for KJo against 75s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
KJo59.8130.66839.51960.147
75s39.5190.66859.81339.853

We compare an offsuit hand with a suited hand. The two hands share no rank, which makes this a pure matchup of card strength, straight chances and flush chances.

That is a modest edge, the kind that shows up over many hands and is easy to miss in one. 0.67% of boards are ties, so the equity of each hand is its win rate plus half of that.

In the ranking of all 169 starting hands, KJo is number 26 and 75s is number 124.

Boards behind the percentages: 82,190,592 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
KJo49,161,000549,00032,481,000
75s32,481,000549,00049,161,000

Exact total: 48 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

KJo against 75s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
KJo1.5091.6722.5300.663
75s0.6632.5301.6721.509

In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Rainbow flops topped by a ten or better are the best for KJo (68.66%); low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) are the worst (32.93%). 75s takes over on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), so the favorite before the flop is the underdog on those boards.

KJo against 75s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsKJo winsTies75s winsKJo equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.71768.4980.31731.18568.656
Rainbow, nine or lower6.31332.5860.69766.71732.934
Two-tone46.66758.3950.37541.23058.582
Monotone5.21257.2082.47440.31858.445
Paired17.09161.9791.41536.60662.687

Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Each hand has a baseline against a random hand: 60.57% for KJo, 43.68% for 75s. Here the change is -0.42 and -3.83 points.

KJo and 75s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
KJo, all flops60.14760.569-0.4220.99303
KJo, rainbow, ten or higher68.65660.569+8.0871.13352
KJo, rainbow, nine or lower32.93460.569-27.6350.54374
KJo, two-tone58.58260.569-1.9870.96719
KJo, monotone58.44560.569-2.1240.96493
KJo, paired62.68760.569+2.1181.03497
75s, all flops39.85343.676-3.8230.91247
75s, rainbow, ten or higher31.34443.676-12.3320.71765
75s, rainbow, nine or lower67.06643.676+23.3901.53553
75s, two-tone41.41843.676-2.2580.94830
75s, monotone41.55543.676-2.1210.95144
75s, paired37.31343.676-6.3630.85431

Does a shared suit matter?

Does suit overlap move the numbers? KJo has 60.85% when the hands share a suit and 59.44% when they do not. KJo does better with a shared suit, by 1.41 points.

KJo against 75s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsKJo winsTies75s winsKJo equity
Share a suit2450.0060.4990.71038.79160.854
No shared suit2450.0059.1270.62740.24659.440

How often this matchup comes up

KJo against 75s is made up of 48 specific-card matchups in one seat order, 0.0030% of the 1,624,350 ordered deals, and 96 counting both seat orders, 0.0059%.

A worked example

Worked example: both players commit $100, so $200 sits in the middle. Over every board, KJo's average share is $120.30 (a gain of $20.30) and 75s' is $79.70 (a loss of $20.30).

Scaled to 1,000 deals, that is roughly 598 wins for KJo, 395 for 75s and 7 chopped pots.

The same matchup from the other side

75s versus KJo is this same page seen from the other hand: 39.85% for 75s, 60.15% for KJo.

Try KsJh against 7d5d in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.

How this was computed

This is an exact count with no sampling. For the 48 ways to deal one KJo and one 75s without reusing a card, grouped by suit pattern, every one of the 1,712,304 possible boards is dealt and both seven-card hands are compared. A tie counts as half a win in the equity column, and each board is counted once under each of its ten three-card flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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