KJs
50.33%
Wins 50.00%, ties 0.66%
44
49.67%
Wins 49.34%, ties 0.66%
KJs against 44: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KJs | 50.001 | 0.662 | 49.337 | 50.332 |
| 44 | 49.337 | 0.662 | 50.001 | 49.668 |
The matchup pits a suited hand against a pocket pair. This is a pair against two overcards, a matchup that stays close because the other hand only needs one of its ranks to appear.
That is a slim edge: neither hand is far ahead. Of every 100 boards, about 0.66 are split pots, and the equity figures already include them.
Among the 169 starting hands, KJs is number 20 and 44 is number 48 by strength against a random hand.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| KJs | 20,548,000 | 272,000 | 20,275,000 |
| 44 | 20,275,000 | 272,000 | 20,548,000 |
Exact total: 24 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KJs | 1.013 | 2.000 | 2.027 | 0.987 |
| 44 | 0.987 | 2.027 | 2.000 | 1.013 |
The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.
Who is ahead on which flops
KJs prefers rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, where it holds 56.36%, and likes low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) least, where it holds 23.27%. 44 is ahead on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) and paired flops, even though it trails KJs when every flop is counted.
| Flop | Share of flops | KJs wins | Ties | 44 wins | KJs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 24.595 | 56.214 | 0.284 | 43.502 | 56.356 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 6.314 | 22.801 | 0.941 | 76.258 | 23.271 |
| Two-tone | 46.545 | 51.476 | 0.390 | 48.134 | 51.671 |
| Monotone | 5.212 | 48.773 | 2.876 | 48.351 | 50.211 |
| Paired | 17.334 | 47.501 | 1.162 | 51.337 | 48.082 |
Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.
Compared with a random hand
The table below sets each hand against its own random-hand baseline: a change of -12.24 points for KJs, from 62.57%, and -7.35 for 44, from 57.02%.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KJs, all flops | 50.332 | 62.567 | -12.235 | 0.80445 |
| KJs, rainbow, ten or higher | 56.356 | 62.567 | -6.211 | 0.90073 |
| KJs, rainbow, nine or lower | 23.271 | 62.567 | -39.296 | 0.37194 |
| KJs, two-tone | 51.671 | 62.567 | -10.896 | 0.82585 |
| KJs, monotone | 50.211 | 62.567 | -12.356 | 0.80252 |
| KJs, paired | 48.082 | 62.567 | -14.485 | 0.76849 |
| 44, all flops | 49.668 | 57.023 | -7.355 | 0.87102 |
| 44, rainbow, ten or higher | 43.644 | 57.023 | -13.379 | 0.76538 |
| 44, rainbow, nine or lower | 76.729 | 57.023 | +19.706 | 1.34558 |
| 44, two-tone | 48.329 | 57.023 | -8.694 | 0.84754 |
| 44, monotone | 49.789 | 57.023 | -7.234 | 0.87314 |
| 44, paired | 51.918 | 57.023 | -5.105 | 0.91047 |
Does a shared suit matter?
When the hands share a suit, KJs holds 50.16%; when they do not, it holds 50.50%. KJs does better with no shared suit, by 0.34 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | KJs wins | Ties | 44 wins | KJs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 12 | 50.00 | 49.811 | 0.700 | 49.489 | 50.161 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 50.00 | 50.192 | 0.624 | 49.184 | 50.504 |
How often this matchup comes up
You will meet this exact matchup 0.0030% of the time in a random heads-up deal: 48 of 1,624,350, counting either seat order.
A worked example
With $100 from each side, the $200 pot is split on average as $100.66 for KJs and $99.34 for 44; the first side gains $0.66 per all-in and the second gives up $0.66.
Scaled to 1,000 deals, that is roughly 500 wins for KJs, 493 for 44 and 7 chopped pots.
The same matchup from the other side
Swap the hands and you get 44 with 49.67% against KJs with 50.33%. We keep one page per matchup, with the better-ranked hand first.
Keep exploring
The calculator link fills in KsJs against 4h4d, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.
How this was computed
This is an exact count with no sampling. For the 24 ways to deal one KJs and one 44 without reusing a card, grouped by suit pattern, every one of the 1,712,304 possible boards is dealt and both seven-card hands are compared. A tie counts as half a win in the equity column, and each board is counted once under each of its ten three-card flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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