KK
80.82%
Wins 80.62%, ties 0.39%
99
19.18%
Wins 18.99%, ties 0.39%
KK against 99: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KK | 80.620 | 0.394 | 18.986 | 80.817 |
| 99 | 18.986 | 0.394 | 80.620 | 19.183 |
KK meets 99, and both are pocket pairs. Both hands are pairs, so the bigger pair is ahead on every board that does not pair a card below it.
That is a heavy lead: 99 needs the board to help it on most runouts and still falls behind far more often than not. 0.39% of boards are ties, so the equity of each hand is its win rate plus half of that.
For context, KK sits at number 2 of 169 starting hands and 99 at number 6 when each is run against a random hand.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| KK | 49,697,000 | 243,000 | 11,704,000 |
| 99 | 11,704,000 | 243,000 | 49,697,000 |
The board total is exact, 36 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KK | 4.213 | 1.240 | 5.267 | 0.237 |
| 99 | 0.237 | 5.267 | 1.240 | 4.213 |
The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.
Who is ahead on which flops
By flop texture, KK's equity runs from 69.30% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) up to 86.37% on paired flops. KK stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.
| Flop | Share of flops | KK wins | Ties | 99 wins | KK equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 24.595 | 82.984 | 0.192 | 16.824 | 83.080 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 6.314 | 68.739 | 1.119 | 30.142 | 69.298 |
| Two-tone | 46.363 | 79.518 | 0.365 | 20.117 | 79.701 |
| Monotone | 5.152 | 74.343 | 1.738 | 23.919 | 75.212 |
| Paired | 17.576 | 86.323 | 0.100 | 13.577 | 86.373 |
Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
How much does the opponent matter? Compared with its random-hand 82.40%, KK changes by -1.58 points, and 99, from 72.06%, by -52.88.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KK, all flops | 80.817 | 82.396 | -1.579 | 0.98084 |
| KK, rainbow, ten or higher | 83.080 | 82.396 | +0.684 | 1.00830 |
| KK, rainbow, nine or lower | 69.298 | 82.396 | -13.098 | 0.84104 |
| KK, two-tone | 79.701 | 82.396 | -2.695 | 0.96729 |
| KK, monotone | 75.212 | 82.396 | -7.184 | 0.91281 |
| KK, paired | 86.373 | 82.396 | +3.977 | 1.04827 |
| 99, all flops | 19.183 | 72.057 | -52.874 | 0.26622 |
| 99, rainbow, ten or higher | 16.920 | 72.057 | -55.137 | 0.23481 |
| 99, rainbow, nine or lower | 30.702 | 72.057 | -41.355 | 0.42608 |
| 99, two-tone | 20.299 | 72.057 | -51.758 | 0.28171 |
| 99, monotone | 24.788 | 72.057 | -47.269 | 0.34401 |
| 99, paired | 13.627 | 72.057 | -58.430 | 0.18911 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Two kinds of deal exist here. In 30 of them the hands share a suit and KK holds 80.95%. In 6 they do not, and it holds 80.15%. KK does better with a shared suit, by 0.80 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | KK wins | Ties | 99 wins | KK equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 30 | 83.33 | 80.745 | 0.410 | 18.845 | 80.950 |
| No shared suit | 6 | 16.67 | 79.993 | 0.314 | 19.693 | 80.150 |
How often this matchup comes up
This page stands for 36 specific-card matchups (0.0022% of 1,624,350 ordered deals), or 72 once you count the seats both ways (0.0044%).
A worked example
Put $100 each into a $200 pot and deal every board once: KK averages $161.64 back, ahead of its $100 by $61.64, while 99 averages $38.36, short of its $100 by $61.64.
In 1,000 deals of exactly this matchup, expect about 806 won outright by KK, about 190 won outright by 99 and about 4 split.
The same matchup from the other side
If you came looking for 99 against KK, the numbers are the same with the hands swapped: 19.18% and 80.82%.
Keep exploring
Open the calculator with KsKh against 9d9c already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.
How this was computed
We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 36 specific KK against 99 deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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