KK vs ATo: preflop equity

Dealt all in against each other, KK takes 71.00% of the pot on average and ATo takes the other 29.00%.

KK

71.00%

Wins 70.80%, ties 0.39%

ATo

29.00%

Wins 28.81%, ties 0.39%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

KK against ATo: the numbers

Exact preflop results for KK against ATo, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
KK70.8030.39428.80371.000
ATo28.8030.39470.80329.000

KK, a pocket pair, plays ATo, an offsuit hand. One of the other hand's cards outranks the pair and one is below it, which makes this a closer race than a pair against two small cards.

KK is well ahead, and ATo needs a specific kind of board to catch up. Of every 100 boards, about 0.39 are split pots, and the equity figures already include them.

In the ranking of all 169 starting hands, KK is number 2 and ATo is number 19.

Boards behind the percentages: 123,285,888 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
KK87,290,000486,00035,510,000
ATo35,510,000486,00087,290,000

The board total is exact, 72 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.

KK against ATo read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
KK2.4481.4123.4720.408
ATo0.4083.4721.4122.448

The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Break the boards down by their first three cards and KK is strongest on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) (82.81%) and weakest on monotone flops (66.37%). KK stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

KK against ATo by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsKK winsTiesATo winsKK equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.26066.5780.17933.24366.667
Rainbow, nine or lower7.77182.2831.06116.65682.814
Two-tone46.48570.0380.38329.57970.230
Monotone5.15165.4961.74932.75566.370
Paired17.33374.9540.01025.03674.959

Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Each hand has a baseline against a random hand: 82.40% for KK, 62.72% for ATo. Here the change is -11.40 and -33.72 points.

KK and ATo here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
KK, all flops71.00082.396-11.3960.86169
KK, rainbow, ten or higher66.66782.396-15.7290.80910
KK, rainbow, nine or lower82.81482.396+0.4181.00507
KK, two-tone70.23082.396-12.1660.85235
KK, monotone66.37082.396-16.0260.80550
KK, paired74.95982.396-7.4370.90974
ATo, all flops29.00062.722-33.7220.46236
ATo, rainbow, ten or higher33.33362.722-29.3890.53144
ATo, rainbow, nine or lower17.18662.722-45.5360.27400
ATo, two-tone29.77062.722-32.9520.47463
ATo, monotone33.63062.722-29.0920.53618
ATo, paired25.04162.722-37.6810.39924

Does a shared suit matter?

Looking only at deals where the hands share a suit, KK has 71.03%; looking only at deals where they do not, 70.83%. The two rows differ by only 0.20 points, so suits barely change this matchup.

KK against ATo by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsKK winsTiesATo winsKK equity
Share a suit6083.3370.8280.41028.76271.033
No shared suit1216.6770.6770.31429.00970.834

How often this matchup comes up

Out of 1,624,350 ways to deal two seats two cards each, 72 are KK in one seat and ATo in the other (0.0044%); with the seats swapped too, 144 (0.0089%).

A worked example

Put $100 each into a $200 pot and deal every board once: KK averages $142.00 back, ahead of its $100 by $42.00, while ATo averages $58.00, short of its $100 by $42.00.

Over a long run, 1,000 deals split into about 708 for KK, 288 for ATo and 4 tied.

The same matchup from the other side

ATo against KK adds nothing new: it is 29.00% for ATo and 71.00% for KK, the same figures reversed.

KsKh against AdTc is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.

How this was computed

The page is built from a full enumeration: 1,712,304 boards, every suit pattern of the 72 specific deals, both seven-card hands evaluated. A tie is worth half a win to each hand, and a board is tallied under each of its ten possible flops for the texture rows.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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