KK vs ATs: preflop equity

Over all 1,712,304 boards that can follow this deal, KK finishes with 67.43% of the pot and ATs with 32.57%.

KK

67.43%

Wins 67.23%, ties 0.41%

ATs

32.57%

Wins 32.36%, ties 0.41%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

KK against ATs: the numbers

Exact preflop results for KK against ATs, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
KK67.2250.41132.36467.431
ATs32.3640.41167.22532.569

Here a pocket pair (KK) meets a suited hand (ATs). The pair sits between the other hand's two cards: one is higher and one is lower, so the pair is exposed to the higher card.

A lead of 34.86 points is large but not decisive: ATs still takes about 324 of every 1,000 deals. A split pot comes up on 0.41% of boards, so the wins and the equity differ by half of that.

KK ranks number 2 of 169 starting hands, and ATs ranks number 13, by equity against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 41,095,296 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
KK27,626,000169,00013,300,000
ATs13,300,000169,00027,626,000

The total is exact: 24 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.

KK against ATs read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
KK2.0701.4883.0900.483
ATs0.4833.0901.4882.070

The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) are the best for KK (80.02%); monotone flops are the worst (62.86%). KK stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

KK against ATs by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsKK winsTiesATs winsKK equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.13864.8220.17335.00564.909
Rainbow, nine or lower7.77179.5081.02019.47280.018
Two-tone46.54565.3210.35234.32765.497
Monotone5.21261.6432.42535.93262.855
Paired17.33471.7170.01028.27371.722

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Each hand has a baseline against a random hand: 82.40% for KK, 64.60% for ATs. Here the change is -14.97 and -32.03 points.

KK and ATs here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
KK, all flops67.43182.396-14.9650.81838
KK, rainbow, ten or higher64.90982.396-17.4870.78777
KK, rainbow, nine or lower80.01882.396-2.3780.97114
KK, two-tone65.49782.396-16.8990.79491
KK, monotone62.85582.396-19.5410.76284
KK, paired71.72282.396-10.6740.87045
ATs, all flops32.56964.602-32.0330.50415
ATs, rainbow, ten or higher35.09164.602-29.5110.54319
ATs, rainbow, nine or lower19.98264.602-44.6200.30931
ATs, two-tone34.50364.602-30.0990.53409
ATs, monotone37.14564.602-27.4570.57498
ATs, paired28.27864.602-36.3240.43773

Does a shared suit matter?

Two kinds of deal exist here. In 12 of them the hands share a suit and KK holds 67.70%. In 12 they do not, and it holds 67.16%. KK does better with a shared suit, by 0.54 points.

KK against ATs by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsKK winsTiesATs winsKK equity
Share a suit1250.0067.4710.45232.07767.697
No shared suit1250.0066.9780.37132.65167.164

How often this matchup comes up

The class pair covers 24 combinations of specific cards in a fixed seat order, 0.0015% of 1,624,350, and 48 (0.0030%) in either order.

A worked example

Try it with money: two players each put in $100 and the whole board runs out every possible way. KK averages $134.86 from the $200, up $34.86; ATs averages $65.14, down $34.86.

Think in thousands: about 672 of 1,000 go to KK, about 324 go to ATs, and about 4 are chopped.

The same matchup from the other side

ATs against KK adds nothing new: it is 32.57% for ATs and 67.43% for KK, the same figures reversed.

Try KsKh against AdTd in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.

How this was computed

The page is built from a full enumeration: 1,712,304 boards, every suit pattern of the 24 specific deals, both seven-card hands evaluated. A tie is worth half a win to each hand, and a board is tallied under each of its ten possible flops for the texture rows.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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