KK
79.30%
Wins 79.11%, ties 0.38%
T8s
20.70%
Wins 20.51%, ties 0.38%
KK against T8s: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KK | 79.108 | 0.380 | 20.512 | 79.298 |
| T8s | 20.512 | 0.380 | 79.108 | 20.702 |
One side is a pocket pair, the other is a suited hand. The pair outranks both of the other hand's cards, which is why the pair is a strong favorite.
KK is well ahead, and T8s needs a specific kind of board to catch up. 0.38% of boards are ties, so the equity of each hand is its win rate plus half of that.
KK ranks number 2 of 169 starting hands, and T8s ranks number 73, by equity against a random hand.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| KK | 32,510,000 | 156,000 | 8,429,000 |
| T8s | 8,429,000 | 156,000 | 32,510,000 |
The total is exact: 24 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KK | 3.830 | 1.264 | 4.875 | 0.261 |
| T8s | 0.261 | 4.875 | 1.264 | 3.830 |
The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.
Who is ahead on which flops
By flop texture, KK's equity runs from 73.95% on monotone flops up to 83.18% on paired flops. KK stays ahead on all five textures.
| Flop | Share of flops | KK wins | Ties | T8s wins | KK equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.867 | 81.305 | 0.197 | 18.498 | 81.403 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.042 | 78.702 | 0.747 | 20.551 | 79.075 |
| Two-tone | 46.545 | 77.255 | 0.300 | 22.445 | 77.405 |
| Monotone | 5.212 | 72.755 | 2.398 | 24.847 | 73.954 |
| Paired | 17.334 | 83.135 | 0.092 | 16.773 | 83.181 |
Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.
Compared with a random hand
How much does the opponent matter? Compared with its random-hand 82.40%, KK changes by -3.10 points, and T8s, from 52.33%, by -31.63.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KK, all flops | 79.298 | 82.396 | -3.098 | 0.96240 |
| KK, rainbow, ten or higher | 81.403 | 82.396 | -0.993 | 0.98795 |
| KK, rainbow, nine or lower | 79.075 | 82.396 | -3.321 | 0.95969 |
| KK, two-tone | 77.405 | 82.396 | -4.991 | 0.93943 |
| KK, monotone | 73.954 | 82.396 | -8.442 | 0.89754 |
| KK, paired | 83.181 | 82.396 | +0.785 | 1.00953 |
| T8s, all flops | 20.702 | 52.334 | -31.632 | 0.39557 |
| T8s, rainbow, ten or higher | 18.597 | 52.334 | -33.737 | 0.35535 |
| T8s, rainbow, nine or lower | 20.925 | 52.334 | -31.409 | 0.39984 |
| T8s, two-tone | 22.595 | 52.334 | -29.739 | 0.43175 |
| T8s, monotone | 26.046 | 52.334 | -26.288 | 0.49769 |
| T8s, paired | 16.819 | 52.334 | -35.515 | 0.32138 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Split by suits, the deals give KK 79.88% when the hands overlap in a suit and 78.72% when they do not. KK does better with a shared suit, by 1.16 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | KK wins | Ties | T8s wins | KK equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 12 | 50.00 | 79.666 | 0.421 | 19.913 | 79.876 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 50.00 | 78.551 | 0.339 | 21.110 | 78.720 |
How often this matchup comes up
KK against T8s is made up of 24 specific-card matchups in one seat order, 0.0015% of the 1,624,350 ordered deals, and 48 counting both seat orders, 0.0030%.
A worked example
Try it with money: two players each put in $100 and the whole board runs out every possible way. KK averages $158.60 from the $200, up $58.60; T8s averages $41.40, down $58.60.
Per 1,000 deals: KK wins about 791, T8s wins about 205, and about 4 end in a split pot.
The same matchup from the other side
If you came looking for T8s against KK, the numbers are the same with the hands swapped: 20.70% and 79.30%.
Keep exploring
Try KsKh against Td8d in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.
How this was computed
We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 24 specific KK against T8s deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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