KQo vs 53s: preflop equity

If KQo and 53s get all the chips in before the flop, KQo owns 60.35% of the pot in the long run and 53s owns 39.65%.

KQo

60.35%

Wins 59.98%, ties 0.73%

53s

39.65%

Wins 39.29%, ties 0.73%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

KQo against 53s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for KQo against 53s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
KQo59.9820.72839.29060.346
53s39.2900.72859.98239.654

KQo and 53s are an offsuit hand and a suited hand, in that order. With no overlap in ranks, every card that pairs one hand is a card that does not pair the other.

The lead is steady rather than large, and the flop still has plenty of say in who wins. Split pots make up 0.73% of the boards, and both equity figures count them as half a win each.

For context, KQo sits at number 23 of 169 starting hands and 53s at number 146 when each is run against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 82,190,592 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
KQo49,300,000598,00032,293,000
53s32,293,000598,00049,300,000

The total is exact: 48 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.

KQo against 53s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
KQo1.5221.6672.5450.657
53s0.6572.5451.6671.522

The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Across the five flop textures KQo's equity moves by 34.27 points, from 34.23% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) to 68.50% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better. The lead reverses on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower): there 53s is the favorite even though KQo is ahead overall.

KQo against 53s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsKQo winsTies53s winsKQo equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.71768.3440.30931.34768.498
Rainbow, nine or lower6.31333.6711.11265.21734.227
Two-tone46.66758.4790.44541.07658.702
Monotone5.21257.2832.57840.13958.572
Paired17.09162.5371.40036.06363.237

Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.

Compared with a random hand

How much does the opponent matter? Compared with its random-hand 61.46%, KQo changes by -1.11 points, and 53s, from 39.69%, by -0.04.

KQo and 53s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
KQo, all flops60.34661.456-1.1100.98194
KQo, rainbow, ten or higher68.49861.456+7.0421.11459
KQo, rainbow, nine or lower34.22761.456-27.2290.55694
KQo, two-tone58.70261.456-2.7540.95519
KQo, monotone58.57261.456-2.8840.95307
KQo, paired63.23761.456+1.7811.02898
53s, all flops39.65439.693-0.0390.99902
53s, rainbow, ten or higher31.50239.693-8.1910.79364
53s, rainbow, nine or lower65.77339.693+26.0801.65704
53s, two-tone41.29839.693+1.6051.04044
53s, monotone41.42839.693+1.7351.04371
53s, paired36.76339.693-2.9300.92618

Does a shared suit matter?

When the hands share a suit, KQo holds 61.06%; when they do not, it holds 59.64%. KQo does better with a shared suit, by 1.42 points.

KQo against 53s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsKQo winsTies53s winsKQo equity
Share a suit2450.0060.6740.76738.55961.058
No shared suit2450.0059.2900.68940.02159.635

How often this matchup comes up

Out of 1,624,350 ways to deal two seats two cards each, 48 are KQo in one seat and 53s in the other (0.0030%); with the seats swapped too, 96 (0.0059%).

A worked example

With $100 from each side, the $200 pot is split on average as $120.70 for KQo and $79.30 for 53s; the first side gains $20.70 per all-in and the second gives up $20.70.

Think in thousands: about 600 of 1,000 go to KQo, about 393 go to 53s, and about 7 are chopped.

The same matchup from the other side

Read it from the other side: 53s against KQo is the same matchup with the numbers swapped, so 53s holds 39.65% and KQo holds 60.35%. That address sends you back to this page.

The calculator link fills in KsQh against 5d3d, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.

How this was computed

The page is built from a full enumeration: 1,712,304 boards, every suit pattern of the 48 specific deals, both seven-card hands evaluated. A tie is worth half a win to each hand, and a board is tallied under each of its ten possible flops for the texture rows.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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