KQo vs QJo: preflop equity

The exact count puts KQo at 74.14% and QJo at 25.86% when the two hands see all five board cards.

KQo

74.14%

Wins 72.89%, ties 2.50%

QJo

25.86%

Wins 24.61%, ties 2.50%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

KQo against QJo: the numbers

Exact preflop results for KQo against QJo, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
KQo72.8882.49824.61474.137
QJo24.6142.49872.88825.863

KQo meets QJo, and both are offsuit hands. Because the hands share one rank, the one with the higher kicker is ahead when that rank pairs and the other hand is mostly drawing.

A lead of 48.28 points is large but not decisive: QJo still takes about 246 of every 1,000 deals. 2.50% of boards are ties, so the equity of each hand is its win rate plus half of that.

Ranked by equity against a random hand, KQo is number 23 of the 169 starting hands and QJo is number 39.

Boards behind the percentages: 184,928,832 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
KQo134,791,0004,620,00045,518,000
QJo45,518,0004,620,000134,791,000

Exact total: 108 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

KQo against QJo read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
KQo2.8671.3724.0630.349
QJo0.3494.0631.3722.867

The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Split by what the flop looks like, KQo peaks at 84.80% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) and bottoms out at 70.33% on monotone flops. KQo stays ahead on all five textures.

KQo against QJo by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsKQo winsTiesQJo winsKQo equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.27569.2202.30428.47670.372
Rainbow, nine or lower7.77184.1631.27014.56784.798
Two-tone46.47772.5961.99325.41173.593
Monotone5.14468.8642.92328.21370.326
Paired17.33374.7324.54020.72877.002

Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Compared with a random opponent, this matchup shifts KQo from 61.46% by +12.68 points and QJo from 58.14% by -32.28 points.

KQo and QJo here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
KQo, all flops74.13761.456+12.6811.20634
KQo, rainbow, ten or higher70.37261.456+8.9161.14508
KQo, rainbow, nine or lower84.79861.456+23.3421.37982
KQo, two-tone73.59361.456+12.1371.19749
KQo, monotone70.32661.456+8.8701.14433
KQo, paired77.00261.456+15.5461.25296
QJo, all flops25.86358.135-32.2720.44488
QJo, rainbow, ten or higher29.62858.135-28.5070.50964
QJo, rainbow, nine or lower15.20258.135-42.9330.26149
QJo, two-tone26.40758.135-31.7280.45424
QJo, monotone29.67458.135-28.4610.51043
QJo, paired22.99858.135-35.1370.39560

Does a shared suit matter?

Two kinds of deal exist here. In 84 of them the hands share a suit and KQo holds 74.31%. In 24 they do not, and it holds 73.54%. KQo does better with a shared suit, by 0.77 points.

KQo against QJo by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsKQo winsTiesQJo winsKQo equity
Share a suit8477.7873.0462.52424.43074.308
No shared suit2422.2272.3352.40725.25873.538

How often this matchup comes up

You will meet this exact matchup 0.0133% of the time in a random heads-up deal: 216 of 1,624,350, counting either seat order.

A worked example

Take a $200 pot built from $100 each. KQo's equity of 74.14% is worth $148.28, a $48.28 edge, and QJo's 25.86% is worth $51.72, which is $48.28 under its stake.

Scaled to 1,000 deals, that is roughly 729 wins for KQo, 246 for QJo and 25 chopped pots.

The same matchup from the other side

If you came looking for QJo against KQo, the numbers are the same with the hands swapped: 25.86% and 74.14%.

KsQh against QdJc is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.

How this was computed

Each figure is a complete count over boards. Take the 108 specific deals, group them by suit pattern, deal all 1,712,304 boards against each, and compare the two seven-card hands. Equity counts a tie as half a win; the flop rows use every one of a board's ten flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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