KTs
51.90%
Wins 51.45%, ties 0.89%
22
48.10%
Wins 47.66%, ties 0.89%
KTs against 22: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KTs | 51.454 | 0.893 | 47.653 | 51.901 |
| 22 | 47.653 | 0.893 | 51.454 | 48.099 |
KTs, a suited hand, plays 22, a pocket pair. A pair against two higher cards is the classic race: the pair is usually a small favorite or close to even, and each overcard that pairs is a way to take the lead.
This is close to even money, with KTs a little ahead. 0.89% of boards are ties, so the equity of each hand is its win rate plus half of that.
Ranked by equity against a random hand, KTs is number 22 of the 169 starting hands and 22 is number 87.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| KTs | 21,145,000 | 367,000 | 19,583,000 |
| 22 | 19,583,000 | 367,000 | 21,145,000 |
The board total is exact, 24 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KTs | 1.079 | 1.943 | 2.099 | 0.927 |
| 22 | 0.927 | 2.099 | 1.943 | 1.079 |
In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
KTs prefers rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, where it holds 56.97%, and likes low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) least, where it holds 26.53%. 22 is ahead on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), even though it trails KTs when every flop is counted.
| Flop | Share of flops | KTs wins | Ties | 22 wins | KTs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 24.595 | 56.768 | 0.398 | 42.834 | 56.967 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 6.314 | 26.004 | 1.047 | 72.949 | 26.528 |
| Two-tone | 46.545 | 52.495 | 0.495 | 47.010 | 52.743 |
| Monotone | 5.212 | 49.544 | 3.842 | 46.614 | 51.465 |
| Paired | 17.334 | 50.963 | 1.721 | 47.316 | 51.823 |
Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.
Compared with a random hand
The table below sets each hand against its own random-hand baseline: a change of -9.89 points for KTs, from 61.79%, and -2.23 for 22, from 50.33%.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KTs, all flops | 51.901 | 61.789 | -9.888 | 0.83997 |
| KTs, rainbow, ten or higher | 56.967 | 61.789 | -4.822 | 0.92196 |
| KTs, rainbow, nine or lower | 26.528 | 61.789 | -35.261 | 0.42933 |
| KTs, two-tone | 52.743 | 61.789 | -9.046 | 0.85360 |
| KTs, monotone | 51.465 | 61.789 | -10.324 | 0.83292 |
| KTs, paired | 51.823 | 61.789 | -9.966 | 0.83871 |
| 22, all flops | 48.099 | 50.334 | -2.235 | 0.95560 |
| 22, rainbow, ten or higher | 43.033 | 50.334 | -7.301 | 0.85495 |
| 22, rainbow, nine or lower | 73.472 | 50.334 | +23.138 | 1.45969 |
| 22, two-tone | 47.257 | 50.334 | -3.077 | 0.93887 |
| 22, monotone | 48.535 | 50.334 | -1.799 | 0.96426 |
| 22, paired | 48.177 | 50.334 | -2.157 | 0.95715 |
Does a shared suit matter?
The suit split reads 51.73% for KTs with a shared suit and 52.07% without one. KTs does better with no shared suit, by 0.34 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | KTs wins | Ties | 22 wins | KTs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 12 | 50.00 | 51.271 | 0.914 | 47.815 | 51.728 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 50.00 | 51.637 | 0.873 | 47.490 | 52.073 |
How often this matchup comes up
Exactly 24 specific deals fit this matchup in one seat order, which is 0.0015% of 1,624,350; both orders together give 48, or 0.0030%.
A worked example
Say each player puts $100 in before the flop, making a $200 pot. On average KTs takes back $103.80 of it, which is $3.80 more than it put in, and 22 takes back $96.20, $3.80 less than it put in.
Over a long run, 1,000 deals split into about 515 for KTs, 476 for 22 and 9 tied.
The same matchup from the other side
Swap the hands and you get 22 with 48.10% against KTs with 51.90%. We keep one page per matchup, with the better-ranked hand first.
Keep exploring
The calculator link fills in KsTs against 2h2d, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.
How this was computed
Each figure is a complete count over boards. Take the 24 specific deals, group them by suit pattern, deal all 1,712,304 boards against each, and compare the two seven-card hands. Equity counts a tie as half a win; the flop rows use every one of a board's ten flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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