KTs vs 55: preflop equity

In equity, KTs against 55 stands at 50.22% to 49.78%, a gap of 0.44 points.

KTs

50.22%

Wins 49.93%, ties 0.58%

55

49.78%

Wins 49.49%, ties 0.58%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

KTs against 55: the numbers

Exact preflop results for KTs against 55, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
KTs49.9300.58149.48950.221
5549.4890.58149.93049.779

The first hand is a suited hand; the second is a pocket pair. A pair against two higher cards is the classic race: the pair is usually a small favorite or close to even, and each overcard that pairs is a way to take the lead.

That is a slim edge: neither hand is far ahead. A split pot comes up on 0.58% of boards, so the wins and the equity differ by half of that.

In the ranking of all 169 starting hands, KTs is number 22 and 55 is number 27.

Boards behind the percentages: 41,095,296 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
KTs20,519,000239,00020,338,000
5520,338,000239,00020,519,000

Exact total: 24 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

KTs against 55 read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
KTs1.0092.0032.0210.991
550.9912.0212.0031.009

The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.

Who is ahead on which flops

Across the five flop textures KTs' equity moves by 31.80 points, from 24.48% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) to 56.28% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better. On low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) and paired flops the numbers flip and 55 is the one ahead.

KTs against 55 by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsKTs winsTies55 winsKTs equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.59556.1290.29343.57856.275
Rainbow, nine or lower6.31424.1210.70975.17024.476
Two-tone46.54551.6430.35548.00251.820
Monotone5.21248.8602.64248.49850.181
Paired17.33446.2610.93052.80946.726

Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Start from the random-hand figures, 61.79% for KTs and 60.33% for 55. This opponent changes them by -11.57 and -10.55 points.

KTs and 55 here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
KTs, all flops50.22161.789-11.5680.81278
KTs, rainbow, ten or higher56.27561.789-5.5140.91076
KTs, rainbow, nine or lower24.47661.789-37.3130.39612
KTs, two-tone51.82061.789-9.9690.83866
KTs, monotone50.18161.789-11.6080.81213
KTs, paired46.72661.789-15.0630.75622
55, all flops49.77960.325-10.5460.82518
55, rainbow, ten or higher43.72560.325-16.6000.72482
55, rainbow, nine or lower75.52460.325+15.1991.25195
55, two-tone48.18060.325-12.1450.79867
55, monotone49.81960.325-10.5060.82584
55, paired53.27460.325-7.0510.88312

Does a shared suit matter?

Two kinds of deal exist here. In 12 of them the hands share a suit and KTs holds 50.06%. In 12 they do not, and it holds 50.39%. KTs does better with no shared suit, by 0.33 points.

KTs against 55 by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsKTs winsTies55 winsKTs equity
Share a suit1250.0049.7430.62349.63450.055
No shared suit1250.0050.1170.53949.34450.387

How often this matchup comes up

Counting specific cards, KTs against 55 appears in 24 of the 1,624,350 ordered heads-up deals (0.0015%), and in 48 when the seats are swapped too (0.0030%).

A worked example

Worked example: both players commit $100, so $200 sits in the middle. Over every board, KTs' average share is $100.44 (a gain of $0.44) and 55's is $99.56 (a loss of $0.44).

Out of 1,000 deals you should see around 499 outright wins for KTs, 495 for 55, and 6 split pots.

The same matchup from the other side

55 against KTs adds nothing new: it is 49.78% for 55 and 50.22% for KTs, the same figures reversed.

Try KsTs against 5h5d in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.

How this was computed

This is an exact count with no sampling. For the 24 ways to deal one KTs and one 55 without reusing a card, grouped by suit pattern, every one of the 1,712,304 possible boards is dealt and both seven-card hands are compared. A tie counts as half a win in the equity column, and each board is counted once under each of its ten three-card flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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