KTs vs 86s: preflop equity

Counting every board, the equity split is 63.15% for KTs and 36.85% for 86s, so KTs leads by 26.30 points.

KTs

63.15%

Wins 62.81%, ties 0.67%

86s

36.85%

Wins 36.52%, ties 0.67%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

KTs against 86s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for KTs against 86s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
KTs62.8130.66536.52263.146
86s36.5220.66562.81336.854

Two suited hands meet here: KTs against 86s. The two hands share no rank, which makes this a pure matchup of card strength, straight chances and flush chances.

KTs is ahead, but 86s is far from dead: it takes 365 of every 1,000 deals outright. Split pots make up 0.67% of the boards, and both equity figures count them as half a win each.

By strength against a random hand, KTs holds place 22 of 169 and 86s holds place 110.

Boards behind the percentages: 27,396,864 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
KTs17,209,000182,00010,006,000
86s10,006,000182,00017,209,000

The board total is exact, 16 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.

KTs against 86s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
KTs1.7131.5922.7380.584
86s0.5842.7381.5921.713

The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Split by what the flop looks like, KTs peaks at 70.19% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better and bottoms out at 37.48% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). 86s is ahead on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), even though it trails KTs when every flop is counted.

KTs against 86s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsKTs winsTies86s winsKTs equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.59570.0480.29129.66170.193
Rainbow, nine or lower6.31437.2310.50662.26337.484
Two-tone46.72762.3680.31037.32262.523
Monotone5.27358.5343.45338.01360.260
Paired17.09164.3901.37434.23665.077

Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Compared with a random opponent, this matchup shifts KTs from 61.79% by +1.36 points and 86s from 46.24% by -9.39 points.

KTs and 86s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
KTs, all flops63.14661.789+1.3571.02196
KTs, rainbow, ten or higher70.19361.789+8.4041.13601
KTs, rainbow, nine or lower37.48461.789-24.3050.60665
KTs, two-tone62.52361.789+0.7341.01188
KTs, monotone60.26061.789-1.5290.97525
KTs, paired65.07761.789+3.2881.05321
86s, all flops36.85446.243-9.3890.79696
86s, rainbow, ten or higher29.80746.243-16.4360.64457
86s, rainbow, nine or lower62.51646.243+16.2731.35190
86s, two-tone37.47746.243-8.7660.81044
86s, monotone39.74046.243-6.5030.85937
86s, paired34.92346.243-11.3200.75521

Does a shared suit matter?

The suit split reads 65.51% for KTs with a shared suit and 62.36% without one. KTs does better with a shared suit, by 3.15 points.

KTs against 86s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsKTs winsTies86s winsKTs equity
Share a suit425.0065.1350.75134.11465.511
No shared suit1275.0062.0390.63737.32462.358

How often this matchup comes up

KTs against 86s is made up of 16 specific-card matchups in one seat order, 0.0010% of the 1,624,350 ordered deals, and 32 counting both seat orders, 0.0020%.

A worked example

Put $100 each into a $200 pot and deal every board once: KTs averages $126.30 back, ahead of its $100 by $26.30, while 86s averages $73.70, short of its $100 by $26.30.

Run 1,000 deals and the tally comes out near 628 for KTs, 365 for 86s and 7 ties.

The same matchup from the other side

86s against KTs adds nothing new: it is 36.85% for 86s and 63.15% for KTs, the same figures reversed.

The calculator link fills in KsTs against 8h6h, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.

How this was computed

Each figure is a complete count over boards. Take the 16 specific deals, group them by suit pattern, deal all 1,712,304 boards against each, and compare the two seven-card hands. Equity counts a tie as half a win; the flop rows use every one of a board's ten flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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