Q9s vs 98s: preflop equity

Dealt all in against each other, Q9s takes 68.22% of the pot on average and 98s takes the other 31.78%.

Q9s

68.22%

Wins 66.21%, ties 4.02%

98s

31.78%

Wins 29.77%, ties 4.02%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

Q9s against 98s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for Q9s against 98s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
Q9s66.2124.02129.76768.223
98s29.7674.02166.21231.777

Q9s meets 98s, and both are suited hands. The two hands share a rank, and the one with the better other card dominates: it wins most kicker battles when that shared rank hits.

A lead of 36.44 points is large but not decisive: 98s still takes about 298 of every 1,000 deals. Ties are part of the picture: 4.02% of boards end in a split pot, and each side counts that as half a win.

In the ranking of all 169 starting hands, Q9s is number 43 and 98s is number 83.

Boards behind the percentages: 20,547,648 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
Q9s13,605,000826,0006,116,000
98s6,116,000826,00013,605,000

12 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.

Q9s against 98s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
Q9s2.1471.5103.3590.466
98s0.4663.3591.5102.147

The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

By flop texture, Q9s' equity runs from 55.34% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) up to 72.61% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better. Q9s stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

Q9s against 98s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsQ9s winsTies98s winsQ9s equity
Rainbow, ten or higher25.25470.9163.38225.70272.607
Rainbow, nine or lower5.65453.4073.86842.72555.341
Two-tone46.54365.4393.16431.39767.021
Monotone5.21559.4285.44235.13062.149
Paired17.33467.6546.87325.47371.090

Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.

Compared with a random hand

How much does the opponent matter? Compared with its random-hand 57.66%, Q9s changes by +10.56 points, and 98s, from 50.80%, by -19.02.

Q9s and 98s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
Q9s, all flops68.22357.664+10.5591.18311
Q9s, rainbow, ten or higher72.60757.664+14.9431.25914
Q9s, rainbow, nine or lower55.34157.664-2.3230.95971
Q9s, two-tone67.02157.664+9.3571.16227
Q9s, monotone62.14957.664+4.4851.07778
Q9s, paired71.09057.664+13.4261.23283
98s, all flops31.77750.801-19.0240.62552
98s, rainbow, ten or higher27.39350.801-23.4080.53922
98s, rainbow, nine or lower44.65950.801-6.1420.87910
98s, two-tone32.97950.801-17.8220.64918
98s, monotone37.85150.801-12.9500.74508
98s, paired28.91050.801-21.8910.56908

Does a shared suit matter?

For this pair the shared-suit row is empty: the two hands cannot both own a card of one suit without reusing a card.

Q9s against 98s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsQ9s winsTies98s winsQ9s equity
Share a suit00.00not possiblenot possiblenot possiblenot possible
No shared suit12100.0066.2124.02129.76768.223

How often this matchup comes up

This page stands for 12 specific-card matchups (0.0007% of 1,624,350 ordered deals), or 24 once you count the seats both ways (0.0015%).

A worked example

To see what the equity is worth, imagine $100 each in a $200 pot. Q9s is worth $136.44 on average (+$36.44); 98s is worth $63.56 (-$36.44).

Think in thousands: about 662 of 1,000 go to Q9s, about 298 go to 98s, and about 40 are chopped.

The same matchup from the other side

98s against Q9s adds nothing new: it is 31.78% for 98s and 68.22% for Q9s, the same figures reversed.

Open the calculator with Qs9s against 9h8h already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.

How this was computed

Method: exact enumeration. The 12 specific deals are grouped by suit pattern, each is run against all 1,712,304 boards, and both seven-card hands are scored. Equity adds half of every tie, and flop textures are tallied over the ten flops inside each board.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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