QJo vs 33: preflop equity

Counting every board, the equity split is 50.43% for 33 and 49.57% for QJo, so 33 leads by 0.86 points.

QJo

49.57%

Wins 49.08%, ties 0.97%

33

50.43%

Wins 49.95%, ties 0.97%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

QJo against 33: the numbers

Exact preflop results for QJo against 33, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
QJo49.0820.97449.94449.569
3349.9440.97449.08250.431

We compare an offsuit hand with a pocket pair. One hand holds a pair and the other holds two cards that both outrank it, which keeps the equity closer than most people expect.

With only 0.86 points between them, the board decides this matchup far more than the cards in hand. 0.97% of boards are ties, so the equity of each hand is its win rate plus half of that.

In the ranking of all 169 starting hands, QJo is number 39 and 33 is number 66.

Boards behind the percentages: 123,285,888 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
QJo60,511,0001,201,00061,574,000
3361,574,0001,201,00060,511,000

72 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.

QJo against 33 read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
QJo0.9832.0372.0021.017
331.0172.0022.0370.983

The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

33 prefers low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), where it holds 76.89%, and likes rainbow flops topped by a ten or better least, where it holds 43.58%. The overall edge for 33 hides rainbow flops topped by a ten or better and monotone flops, where QJo comes out in front.

QJo against 33 by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsQJo winsTies33 winsQJo equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.71756.1920.45643.35256.420
Rainbow, nine or lower6.31422.5371.13776.32623.106
Two-tone46.48549.5690.57949.85249.859
Monotone5.15150.6002.46446.93651.832
Paired17.33346.8572.27050.87347.992

Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Against one random hand instead, QJo holds 58.14% and 33 holds 53.69%. Facing each other changes that by -8.57 points for QJo and -3.26 points for 33.

QJo and 33 here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
QJo, all flops49.56958.135-8.5660.85265
QJo, rainbow, ten or higher56.42058.135-1.7150.97050
QJo, rainbow, nine or lower23.10658.135-35.0290.39745
QJo, two-tone49.85958.135-8.2760.85764
QJo, monotone51.83258.135-6.3030.89158
QJo, paired47.99258.135-10.1430.82553
33, all flops50.43153.693-3.2620.93925
33, rainbow, ten or higher43.58053.693-10.1130.81165
33, rainbow, nine or lower76.89453.693+23.2011.43210
33, two-tone50.14153.693-3.5520.93385
33, monotone48.16853.693-5.5250.89710
33, paired52.00853.693-1.6850.96862

Does a shared suit matter?

The suit split reads 50.34% for 33 with a shared suit and 50.87% without one. 33 does better with no shared suit, by 0.53 points.

QJo against 33 by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsQJo winsTies33 winsQJo equity
Share a suit6083.3349.1650.98549.85049.657
No shared suit1216.6748.6700.92050.41049.130

How often this matchup comes up

Counting specific cards, QJo against 33 appears in 72 of the 1,624,350 ordered heads-up deals (0.0044%), and in 144 when the seats are swapped too (0.0089%).

A worked example

With $100 from each side, the $200 pot is split on average as $100.86 for 33 and $99.14 for QJo; the first side gains $0.86 per all-in and the second gives up $0.86.

A thousand deals look like this: 33 takes 499, QJo takes 491, 10 are ties.

The same matchup from the other side

If you came looking for 33 against QJo, the numbers are the same with the hands swapped: 50.43% and 49.57%.

Open the calculator with QsJh against 3d3c already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.

How this was computed

The figures are counted, not estimated: 1,712,304 boards for every suit pattern of the 72 specific deals, with both seven-card hands compared each time. Equity gives half a win for a tie. For the flop rows, a board is counted once under each of the ten flops inside it.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

Bring your own hands to a session

Review the spots you actually play against these numbers in a Game Assessment, and leave with a one-page written plan.

Book a session