QJo vs 86s: preflop equity

Counting every board, the equity split is 61.42% for QJo and 38.58% for 86s, so QJo leads by 22.84 points.

QJo

61.42%

Wins 60.99%, ties 0.86%

86s

38.58%

Wins 38.15%, ties 0.86%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

QJo against 86s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for QJo against 86s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
QJo60.9930.86238.14561.424
86s38.1450.86260.99338.576

The first hand is an offsuit hand; the second is a suited hand. The two hands share no rank, which makes this a pure matchup of card strength, straight chances and flush chances.

The lead is steady rather than large, and the flop still has plenty of say in who wins. A split pot comes up on 0.86% of boards, so the wins and the equity differ by half of that.

Place 39 of 169 belongs to QJo and place 110 belongs to 86s in the ranking against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 82,190,592 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
QJo50,131,000708,00031,352,000
86s31,352,000708,00050,131,000

The board total is exact, 48 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.

QJo against 86s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
QJo1.5921.6402.6220.628
86s0.6282.6221.6401.592

The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.

Who is ahead on which flops

Break the boards down by their first three cards and QJo is strongest on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better (69.91%) and weakest on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) (35.85%). QJo is the favorite overall but falls behind on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower).

QJo against 86s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsQJo winsTies86s winsQJo equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.71769.7080.41329.87969.914
Rainbow, nine or lower6.31335.5250.64363.83235.846
Two-tone46.66759.8560.43639.70860.074
Monotone5.21258.2872.51639.19759.545
Paired17.09161.7262.25036.02462.851

Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Relative to a random opponent, QJo changes by +3.28 points (baseline 58.14%) and 86s by -7.66 points (baseline 46.24%).

QJo and 86s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
QJo, all flops61.42458.135+3.2891.05658
QJo, rainbow, ten or higher69.91458.135+11.7791.20261
QJo, rainbow, nine or lower35.84658.135-22.2890.61660
QJo, two-tone60.07458.135+1.9391.03335
QJo, monotone59.54558.135+1.4101.02425
QJo, paired62.85158.135+4.7161.08112
86s, all flops38.57646.243-7.6670.83420
86s, rainbow, ten or higher30.08646.243-16.1570.65061
86s, rainbow, nine or lower64.15446.243+17.9111.38732
86s, two-tone39.92646.243-6.3170.86340
86s, monotone40.45546.243-5.7880.87484
86s, paired37.14946.243-9.0940.80334

Does a shared suit matter?

Of the deals of this matchup, 24 share a suit (QJo at 62.14%) and 24 do not (60.70%). QJo does better with a shared suit, by 1.44 points.

QJo against 86s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsQJo winsTies86s winsQJo equity
Share a suit2450.0061.6920.90437.40462.144
No shared suit2450.0060.2930.82038.88760.703

How often this matchup comes up

This page stands for 48 specific-card matchups (0.0030% of 1,624,350 ordered deals), or 96 once you count the seats both ways (0.0059%).

A worked example

Worked example: both players commit $100, so $200 sits in the middle. Over every board, QJo's average share is $122.84 (a gain of $22.84) and 86s' is $77.16 (a loss of $22.84).

Out of 1,000 deals you should see around 610 outright wins for QJo, 381 for 86s, and 9 split pots.

The same matchup from the other side

86s versus QJo is this same page seen from the other hand: 38.58% for 86s, 61.42% for QJo.

Open the calculator with QsJh against 8d6d already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.

How this was computed

The page is built from a full enumeration: 1,712,304 boards, every suit pattern of the 48 specific deals, both seven-card hands evaluated. A tie is worth half a win to each hand, and a board is tallied under each of its ten possible flops for the texture rows.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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