QJo
69.36%
Wins 67.51%, ties 3.71%
JTs
30.64%
Wins 28.78%, ties 3.71%
QJo against JTs: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QJo | 67.507 | 3.706 | 28.787 | 69.360 |
| JTs | 28.787 | 3.706 | 67.507 | 30.640 |
QJo is an offsuit hand and JTs is a suited hand. Sharing a rank is the signature of a dominated hand, since the weaker hand is usually out-kicked when the shared rank shows up.
A lead of 38.72 points is large but not decisive: JTs still takes about 288 of every 1,000 deals. Ties are part of the picture: 3.71% of boards end in a split pot, and each side counts that as half a win.
By strength against a random hand, QJo holds place 39 of 169 and JTs holds place 45.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| QJo | 41,613,000 | 2,284,000 | 17,745,000 |
| JTs | 17,745,000 | 2,284,000 | 41,613,000 |
The board total is exact, 36 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QJo | 2.264 | 1.481 | 3.474 | 0.442 |
| JTs | 0.442 | 3.474 | 1.481 | 2.264 |
The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
If you know the kind of flop that came, the numbers shift: QJo holds 78.37% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) and 64.99% on monotone flops. QJo stays ahead on all five textures.
| Flop | Share of flops | QJo wins | Ties | JTs wins | QJo equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.177 | 66.941 | 3.712 | 29.347 | 68.797 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.771 | 77.852 | 1.033 | 21.115 | 78.369 |
| Two-tone | 46.527 | 66.314 | 2.901 | 30.785 | 67.765 |
| Monotone | 5.192 | 62.832 | 4.312 | 32.856 | 64.988 |
| Paired | 17.333 | 68.230 | 6.873 | 24.897 | 71.666 |
Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Relative to a random opponent, QJo changes by +11.22 points (baseline 58.14%) and JTs by -26.89 points (baseline 57.53%).
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QJo, all flops | 69.360 | 58.135 | +11.225 | 1.19309 |
| QJo, rainbow, ten or higher | 68.797 | 58.135 | +10.662 | 1.18340 |
| QJo, rainbow, nine or lower | 78.369 | 58.135 | +20.234 | 1.34805 |
| QJo, two-tone | 67.765 | 58.135 | +9.630 | 1.16565 |
| QJo, monotone | 64.988 | 58.135 | +6.853 | 1.11788 |
| QJo, paired | 71.666 | 58.135 | +13.531 | 1.23275 |
| JTs, all flops | 30.640 | 57.528 | -26.888 | 0.53261 |
| JTs, rainbow, ten or higher | 31.203 | 57.528 | -26.325 | 0.54240 |
| JTs, rainbow, nine or lower | 21.631 | 57.528 | -35.897 | 0.37601 |
| JTs, two-tone | 32.235 | 57.528 | -25.293 | 0.56034 |
| JTs, monotone | 35.012 | 57.528 | -22.516 | 0.60861 |
| JTs, paired | 28.334 | 57.528 | -29.194 | 0.49253 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Looking only at deals where the hands share a suit, QJo has 70.31%; looking only at deals where they do not, 68.89%. QJo does better with a shared suit, by 1.42 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | QJo wins | Ties | JTs wins | QJo equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 12 | 33.33 | 68.408 | 3.803 | 27.789 | 70.310 |
| No shared suit | 24 | 66.67 | 67.057 | 3.657 | 29.286 | 68.885 |
How often this matchup comes up
QJo against JTs is made up of 36 specific-card matchups in one seat order, 0.0022% of the 1,624,350 ordered deals, and 72 counting both seat orders, 0.0044%.
A worked example
Put $100 each into a $200 pot and deal every board once: QJo averages $138.72 back, ahead of its $100 by $38.72, while JTs averages $61.28, short of its $100 by $38.72.
Scaled to 1,000 deals, that is roughly 675 wins for QJo, 288 for JTs and 37 chopped pots.
The same matchup from the other side
Swap the hands and you get JTs with 30.64% against QJo with 69.36%. We keep one page per matchup, with the better-ranked hand first.
Keep exploring
The calculator link fills in QsJh against JdTd, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.
How this was computed
Each figure is a complete count over boards. Take the 36 specific deals, group them by suit pattern, deal all 1,712,304 boards against each, and compare the two seven-card hands. Equity counts a tie as half a win; the flop rows use every one of a board's ten flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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