QJs vs A4s: preflop equity

The exact count puts A4s at 55.93% and QJs at 44.07% when the two hands see all five board cards.

QJs

44.07%

Wins 43.81%, ties 0.52%

A4s

55.93%

Wins 55.67%, ties 0.52%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

QJs against A4s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for QJs against A4s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
QJs43.8070.52455.66944.069
A4s55.6690.52443.80755.931

Both hands are suited hands: QJs and A4s. With no overlap in ranks, every card that pairs one hand is a card that does not pair the other.

A4s is ahead, but QJs is far from dead: it takes 438 of every 1,000 deals outright. About 0.52% of boards chop the pot, which is why equity sits slightly above the win figure for both hands.

QJs ranks number 28 of 169 starting hands, and A4s ranks number 35, by equity against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 27,396,864 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
QJs12,002,000144,00015,252,000
A4s15,252,000144,00012,002,000

Exact total: 16 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

QJs against A4s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
QJs0.7882.2831.7961.269
A4s1.2691.7962.2830.788

The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.

Who is ahead on which flops

The flop changes the picture. A4s does best on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), at 73.58%, and worst on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, at 49.60%. Rainbow flops topped by a ten or better favor QJs, the hand that is behind overall.

QJs against A4s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsQJs winsTiesA4s winsQJs equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.86750.3410.11349.54650.397
Rainbow, nine or lower7.04225.9041.03073.06626.419
Two-tone46.72745.1280.28854.58445.272
Monotone5.27344.6293.43851.93346.348
Paired17.09138.1950.63761.16838.514

Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.

Compared with a random hand

How much does the opponent matter? Compared with its random-hand 60.26%, QJs changes by -16.19 points, and A4s, from 59.03%, by -3.10.

QJs and A4s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
QJs, all flops44.06960.259-16.1900.73133
QJs, rainbow, ten or higher50.39760.259-9.8620.83634
QJs, rainbow, nine or lower26.41960.259-33.8400.43842
QJs, two-tone45.27260.259-14.9870.75129
QJs, monotone46.34860.259-13.9110.76915
QJs, paired38.51460.259-21.7450.63914
A4s, all flops55.93159.034-3.1030.94744
A4s, rainbow, ten or higher49.60359.034-9.4310.84024
A4s, rainbow, nine or lower73.58159.034+14.5471.24642
A4s, two-tone54.72859.034-4.3060.92706
A4s, monotone53.65259.034-5.3820.90883
A4s, paired61.48659.034+2.4521.04154

Does a shared suit matter?

Of the deals of this matchup, 4 share a suit (A4s at 57.69%) and 12 do not (55.34%). A4s does better with a shared suit, by 2.35 points.

QJs against A4s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsQJs winsTiesA4s winsQJs equity
Share a suit425.0042.0060.60657.38842.309
No shared suit1275.0044.4070.49755.09644.656

How often this matchup comes up

Exactly 16 specific deals fit this matchup in one seat order, which is 0.0010% of 1,624,350; both orders together give 32, or 0.0020%.

A worked example

Worked example: both players commit $100, so $200 sits in the middle. Over every board, A4s' average share is $111.86 (a gain of $11.86) and QJs' is $88.14 (a loss of $11.86).

Run 1,000 deals and the tally comes out near 557 for A4s, 438 for QJs and 5 ties.

The same matchup from the other side

If you came looking for A4s against QJs, the numbers are the same with the hands swapped: 55.93% and 44.07%.

Open the calculator with QsJs against Ah4h already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.

How this was computed

This is an exact count with no sampling. For the 16 ways to deal one QJs and one A4s without reusing a card, grouped by suit pattern, every one of the 1,712,304 possible boards is dealt and both seven-card hands are compared. A tie counts as half a win in the equity column, and each board is counted once under each of its ten three-card flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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