QJs
74.31%
Wins 72.45%, ties 3.71%
JTo
25.69%
Wins 23.84%, ties 3.71%
QJs against JTo: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QJs | 72.454 | 3.706 | 23.840 | 74.307 |
| JTo | 23.840 | 3.706 | 72.454 | 25.693 |
One side is a suited hand, the other is an offsuit hand. Because the hands share one rank, the one with the higher kicker is ahead when that rank pairs and the other hand is mostly drawing.
QJs is well ahead, and JTo needs a specific kind of board to catch up. 3.71% of boards are ties, so the equity of each hand is its win rate plus half of that.
In the ranking of all 169 starting hands, QJs is number 28 and JTo is number 57.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| QJs | 44,663,000 | 2,284,000 | 14,696,000 |
| JTo | 14,696,000 | 2,284,000 | 44,663,000 |
Exact total: 36 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QJs | 2.892 | 1.380 | 4.195 | 0.346 |
| JTo | 0.346 | 4.195 | 1.380 | 2.892 |
The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.
Who is ahead on which flops
Across the five flop textures QJs' equity moves by 15.31 points, from 66.52% on monotone flops to 81.83% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). QJs stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.
| Flop | Share of flops | QJs wins | Ties | JTo wins | QJs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.177 | 69.918 | 3.714 | 26.368 | 71.775 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.771 | 81.310 | 1.033 | 17.657 | 81.827 |
| Two-tone | 46.527 | 72.877 | 2.901 | 24.222 | 74.327 |
| Monotone | 5.192 | 64.362 | 4.308 | 31.330 | 66.516 |
| Paired | 17.333 | 73.164 | 6.873 | 19.963 | 76.601 |
Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Each hand has a baseline against a random hand: 60.26% for QJs, 55.25% for JTo. Here the change is +14.05 and -29.56 points.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QJs, all flops | 74.307 | 60.259 | +14.048 | 1.23313 |
| QJs, rainbow, ten or higher | 71.775 | 60.259 | +11.516 | 1.19111 |
| QJs, rainbow, nine or lower | 81.827 | 60.259 | +21.568 | 1.35792 |
| QJs, two-tone | 74.327 | 60.259 | +14.068 | 1.23346 |
| QJs, monotone | 66.516 | 60.259 | +6.257 | 1.10384 |
| QJs, paired | 76.601 | 60.259 | +16.342 | 1.27120 |
| JTo, all flops | 25.693 | 55.248 | -29.555 | 0.46505 |
| JTo, rainbow, ten or higher | 28.225 | 55.248 | -27.023 | 0.51088 |
| JTo, rainbow, nine or lower | 18.173 | 55.248 | -37.075 | 0.32893 |
| JTo, two-tone | 25.673 | 55.248 | -29.575 | 0.46469 |
| JTo, monotone | 33.484 | 55.248 | -21.764 | 0.60607 |
| JTo, paired | 23.399 | 55.248 | -31.849 | 0.42353 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Of the deals of this matchup, 12 share a suit (QJs at 74.16%) and 24 do not (74.38%). The two rows differ by only 0.22 points, so suits barely change this matchup.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | QJs wins | Ties | JTo wins | QJs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 12 | 33.33 | 72.263 | 3.803 | 23.934 | 74.164 |
| No shared suit | 24 | 66.67 | 72.550 | 3.657 | 23.793 | 74.378 |
How often this matchup comes up
The class pair covers 36 combinations of specific cards in a fixed seat order, 0.0022% of 1,624,350, and 72 (0.0044%) in either order.
A worked example
Take a $200 pot built from $100 each. QJs' equity of 74.31% is worth $148.62, a $48.62 edge, and JTo's 25.69% is worth $51.38, which is $48.62 under its stake.
Per 1,000 deals: QJs wins about 725, JTo wins about 238, and about 37 end in a split pot.
The same matchup from the other side
JTo against QJs adds nothing new: it is 25.69% for JTo and 74.31% for QJs, the same figures reversed.
Keep exploring
Open the calculator with QsJs against JhTd already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.
How this was computed
All 1,712,304 five-card boards are dealt for every suit pattern among the 36 specific deals of QJs against JTo, and both hands are scored on each. That is a full count, so the percentages are exact. Ties are half a win each, and each board appears once per flop it contains.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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