QQ vs A3s: preflop equity

Averaged over every possible board, QQ is ahead of A3s by 34.88 points of equity, 67.44% to 32.56%.

QQ

67.44%

Wins 67.21%, ties 0.45%

A3s

32.56%

Wins 32.34%, ties 0.45%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

QQ against A3s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for QQ against A3s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
QQ67.2130.44632.34167.436
A3s32.3410.44667.21332.564

One side is a pocket pair, the other is a suited hand. The pair is ahead of one card and behind the other, so the board decides how that plays out.

A lead of 34.88 points is large but not decisive: A3s still takes about 323 of every 1,000 deals. Split pots make up 0.45% of the boards, and both equity figures count them as half a win each.

In the ranking of all 169 starting hands, QQ is number 3 and A3s is number 38.

Boards behind the percentages: 41,095,296 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
QQ27,621,000183,00013,291,000
A3s13,291,000183,00027,621,000

Exact total: 24 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

QQ against A3s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
QQ2.0711.4883.0920.483
A3s0.4833.0921.4882.071

The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

If you know the kind of flop that came, the numbers shift: QQ holds 73.98% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) and 63.05% on monotone flops. QQ stays ahead on all five textures.

QQ against A3s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsQQ winsTiesA3s winsQQ equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.86767.2710.16232.56767.352
Rainbow, nine or lower7.04273.3471.26625.38773.980
Two-tone46.54565.4500.37834.17265.639
Monotone5.21261.8252.44635.72963.048
Paired17.33470.9960.08328.92171.038

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Relative to a random opponent, QQ changes by -12.49 points (baseline 79.93%) and A3s by -25.66 points (baseline 58.22%).

QQ and A3s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
QQ, all flops67.43679.925-12.4890.84374
QQ, rainbow, ten or higher67.35279.925-12.5730.84269
QQ, rainbow, nine or lower73.98079.925-5.9450.92562
QQ, two-tone65.63979.925-14.2860.82126
QQ, monotone63.04879.925-16.8770.78884
QQ, paired71.03879.925-8.8870.88881
A3s, all flops32.56458.220-25.6560.55933
A3s, rainbow, ten or higher32.64858.220-25.5720.56077
A3s, rainbow, nine or lower26.02058.220-32.2000.44693
A3s, two-tone34.36158.220-23.8590.59019
A3s, monotone36.95258.220-21.2680.63470
A3s, paired28.96258.220-29.2580.49746

Does a shared suit matter?

Does suit overlap move the numbers? QQ has 67.73% when the hands share a suit and 67.15% when they do not. QQ does better with a shared suit, by 0.58 points.

QQ against A3s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsQQ winsTiesA3s winsQQ equity
Share a suit1250.0067.4820.48832.03067.726
No shared suit1250.0066.9440.40432.65267.146

How often this matchup comes up

You will meet this exact matchup 0.0030% of the time in a random heads-up deal: 48 of 1,624,350, counting either seat order.

A worked example

A $100 all-in from each player makes a $200 pot, and the exact equity says QQ gets $134.88 of it on average and A3s gets $65.12.

Over a long run, 1,000 deals split into about 672 for QQ, 323 for A3s and 5 tied.

The same matchup from the other side

Swap the hands and you get A3s with 32.56% against QQ with 67.44%. We keep one page per matchup, with the better-ranked hand first.

Open the calculator with QsQh against Ad3d already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.

How this was computed

Each figure is a complete count over boards. Take the 24 specific deals, group them by suit pattern, deal all 1,712,304 boards against each, and compare the two seven-card hands. Equity counts a tie as half a win; the flop rows use every one of a board's ten flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

Bring your own hands to a session

Review the spots you actually play against these numbers in a Game Assessment, and leave with a one-page written plan.

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