85.77%
Wins 85.58%, ties 0.38%
JTo
14.23%
Wins 14.04%, ties 0.38%
QQ against JTo: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85.578 | 0.384 | 14.038 | 85.770 | |
| JTo | 14.038 | 0.384 | 85.578 | 14.230 |
QQ and JTo are a pocket pair and an offsuit hand, in that order. The pair outranks both of the other hand's cards, which is why the pair is a strong favorite.
A gap this wide means JTo is in trouble before the flop and has few good runouts. Ties are part of the picture: 0.38% of boards end in a split pot, and each side counts that as half a win.
Place 3 of 169 belongs to QQ and place 57 belongs to JTo in the ranking against a random hand.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| 105,506,000 | 473,000 | 17,307,000 | |
| JTo | 17,307,000 | 473,000 | 105,506,000 |
72 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.027 | 1.169 | 7.124 | 0.166 | |
| JTo | 0.166 | 7.124 | 1.169 | 6.027 |
In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
QQ prefers low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), where it holds 89.87%, and likes monotone flops least, where it holds 80.39%. QQ stays ahead on all five textures.
| Flop | Share of flops | QQ wins | Ties | JTo wins | QQ equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.260 | 84.358 | 0.140 | 15.502 | 84.428 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.771 | 89.381 | 0.981 | 9.638 | 89.872 |
| Two-tone | 46.485 | 85.026 | 0.336 | 14.638 | 85.194 |
| Monotone | 5.151 | 79.529 | 1.716 | 18.755 | 80.387 |
| Paired | 17.333 | 88.787 | 0.176 | 11.037 | 88.875 |
Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Relative to a random opponent, QQ changes by +5.84 points (baseline 79.93%) and JTo by -41.02 points (baseline 55.25%).
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QQ, all flops | 85.770 | 79.925 | +5.845 | 1.07313 |
| QQ, rainbow, ten or higher | 84.428 | 79.925 | +4.503 | 1.05634 |
| QQ, rainbow, nine or lower | 89.872 | 79.925 | +9.947 | 1.12445 |
| QQ, two-tone | 85.194 | 79.925 | +5.269 | 1.06592 |
| QQ, monotone | 80.387 | 79.925 | +0.462 | 1.00578 |
| QQ, paired | 88.875 | 79.925 | +8.950 | 1.11198 |
| JTo, all flops | 14.230 | 55.248 | -41.018 | 0.25757 |
| JTo, rainbow, ten or higher | 15.572 | 55.248 | -39.676 | 0.28186 |
| JTo, rainbow, nine or lower | 10.128 | 55.248 | -45.120 | 0.18332 |
| JTo, two-tone | 14.806 | 55.248 | -40.442 | 0.26799 |
| JTo, monotone | 19.613 | 55.248 | -35.635 | 0.35500 |
| JTo, paired | 11.125 | 55.248 | -44.123 | 0.20136 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Two kinds of deal exist here. In 60 of them the hands share a suit and QQ holds 85.92%. In 12 they do not, and it holds 85.03%. QQ does better with a shared suit, by 0.89 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | QQ wins | Ties | JTo wins | QQ equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 60 | 83.33 | 85.718 | 0.400 | 13.882 | 85.918 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 16.67 | 84.879 | 0.305 | 14.816 | 85.031 |
How often this matchup comes up
Counting specific cards, QQ against JTo appears in 72 of the 1,624,350 ordered heads-up deals (0.0044%), and in 144 when the seats are swapped too (0.0089%).
A worked example
Worked example: both players commit $100, so $200 sits in the middle. Over every board, QQ's average share is $171.54 (a gain of $71.54) and JTo's is $28.46 (a loss of $71.54).
Over a long run, 1,000 deals split into about 856 for QQ, 140 for JTo and 4 tied.
The same matchup from the other side
If you came looking for JTo against QQ, the numbers are the same with the hands swapped: 14.23% and 85.77%.
Keep exploring
QsQh against JdTc is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.
How this was computed
Method: exact enumeration. The 72 specific deals are grouped by suit pattern, each is run against all 1,712,304 boards, and both seven-card hands are scored. Equity adds half of every tie, and flop textures are tallied over the ten flops inside each board.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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