QTs vs JTo: preflop equity

Counting every board, the equity split is 74.17% for QTs and 25.83% for JTo, so QTs leads by 48.34 points.

QTs

74.17%

Wins 72.33%, ties 3.68%

JTo

25.83%

Wins 23.99%, ties 3.68%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

QTs against JTo: the numbers

Exact preflop results for QTs against JTo, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
QTs72.3323.68423.98474.174
JTo23.9843.68472.33225.826

QTs, a suited hand, plays JTo, an offsuit hand. The two hands share a rank, and the one with the better other card dominates: it wins most kicker battles when that shared rank hits.

QTs is the clear favorite, though JTo gets there on roughly one board in 4. 3.68% of boards are ties, so the equity of each hand is its win rate plus half of that.

For context, QTs sits at number 34 of 169 starting hands and JTo at number 57 when each is run against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 61,642,944 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
QTs44,588,0002,271,00014,784,000
JTo14,784,0002,271,00044,588,000

36 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.

QTs against JTo read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
QTs2.8721.3834.1690.348
JTo0.3484.1691.3832.872

In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Across the five flop textures QTs' equity moves by 15.40 points, from 66.43% on monotone flops to 81.83% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). QTs stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

QTs against JTo by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsQTs winsTiesJTo winsQTs equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.17769.7753.70226.52371.626
Rainbow, nine or lower7.77181.3101.03317.65781.827
Two-tone46.52772.7752.89224.33374.221
Monotone5.19264.2764.29931.42566.425
Paired17.33372.9516.79220.25776.347

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

The table below sets each hand against its own random-hand baseline: a change of +14.70 points for QTs, from 59.47%, and -29.42 for JTo, from 55.25%.

QTs and JTo here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
QTs, all flops74.17459.468+14.7061.24729
QTs, rainbow, ten or higher71.62659.468+12.1581.20445
QTs, rainbow, nine or lower81.82759.468+22.3591.37598
QTs, two-tone74.22159.468+14.7531.24808
QTs, monotone66.42559.468+6.9571.11699
QTs, paired76.34759.468+16.8791.28383
JTo, all flops25.82655.248-29.4220.46746
JTo, rainbow, ten or higher28.37455.248-26.8740.51358
JTo, rainbow, nine or lower18.17355.248-37.0750.32893
JTo, two-tone25.77955.248-29.4690.46661
JTo, monotone33.57555.248-21.6730.60771
JTo, paired23.65355.248-31.5950.42812

Does a shared suit matter?

When the hands share a suit, QTs holds 74.03%; when they do not, it holds 74.25%. The two rows differ by only 0.22 points, so suits barely change this matchup.

QTs against JTo by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsQTs winsTiesJTo winsQTs equity
Share a suit1233.3372.1383.78224.08074.029
No shared suit2466.6772.4283.63623.93674.246

How often this matchup comes up

The class pair covers 36 combinations of specific cards in a fixed seat order, 0.0022% of 1,624,350, and 72 (0.0044%) in either order.

A worked example

With $100 from each side, the $200 pot is split on average as $148.34 for QTs and $51.66 for JTo; the first side gains $48.34 per all-in and the second gives up $48.34.

Per 1,000 deals: QTs wins about 723, JTo wins about 240, and about 37 end in a split pot.

The same matchup from the other side

The mirror image, JTo against QTs, is 25.83% to 74.17%, and its address redirects to this page.

QsTs against JhTd is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.

How this was computed

We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 36 specific QTs against JTo deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

Bring your own hands to a session

Review the spots you actually play against these numbers in a Game Assessment, and leave with a one-page written plan.

Book a session