TT
79.51%
Wins 79.23%, ties 0.54%
43s
20.49%
Wins 20.23%, ties 0.54%
TT against 43s: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT | 79.233 | 0.544 | 20.223 | 79.505 |
| 43s | 20.223 | 0.544 | 79.233 | 20.495 |
The matchup pits a pocket pair against a suited hand. The pair outranks both of the other hand's cards, which is why the pair is a strong favorite.
TT is the clear favorite, though 43s gets there on roughly one board in 5. Ties are part of the picture: 0.54% of boards end in a split pot, and each side counts that as half a win.
Among the 169 starting hands, TT is number 5 and 43s is number 150 by strength against a random hand.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| TT | 32,561,000 | 224,000 | 8,311,000 |
| 43s | 8,311,000 | 224,000 | 32,561,000 |
The total is exact: 24 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT | 3.879 | 1.262 | 4.945 | 0.258 |
| 43s | 0.258 | 4.945 | 1.262 | 3.879 |
The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
If you know the kind of flop that came, the numbers shift: TT holds 84.46% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better and 68.54% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). TT stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.
| Flop | Share of flops | TT wins | Ties | 43s wins | TT equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 24.595 | 84.313 | 0.285 | 15.402 | 84.456 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 6.314 | 68.134 | 0.802 | 31.064 | 68.535 |
| Two-tone | 46.545 | 77.501 | 0.368 | 22.131 | 77.685 |
| Monotone | 5.212 | 72.910 | 2.585 | 24.505 | 74.203 |
| Paired | 17.334 | 82.618 | 0.674 | 16.708 | 82.955 |
A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
How much does the opponent matter? Compared with its random-hand 75.01%, TT changes by +4.50 points, and 43s, from 38.64%, by -18.15.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT, all flops | 79.505 | 75.012 | +4.493 | 1.05990 |
| TT, rainbow, ten or higher | 84.456 | 75.012 | +9.444 | 1.12590 |
| TT, rainbow, nine or lower | 68.535 | 75.012 | -6.477 | 0.91365 |
| TT, two-tone | 77.685 | 75.012 | +2.673 | 1.03563 |
| TT, monotone | 74.203 | 75.012 | -0.809 | 0.98922 |
| TT, paired | 82.955 | 75.012 | +7.943 | 1.10589 |
| 43s, all flops | 20.495 | 38.642 | -18.147 | 0.53038 |
| 43s, rainbow, ten or higher | 15.544 | 38.642 | -23.098 | 0.40226 |
| 43s, rainbow, nine or lower | 31.465 | 38.642 | -7.177 | 0.81427 |
| 43s, two-tone | 22.315 | 38.642 | -16.327 | 0.57748 |
| 43s, monotone | 25.797 | 38.642 | -12.845 | 0.66759 |
| 43s, paired | 17.045 | 38.642 | -21.597 | 0.44110 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Looking only at deals where the hands share a suit, TT has 80.09%; looking only at deals where they do not, 78.92%. TT does better with a shared suit, by 1.17 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | TT wins | Ties | 43s wins | TT equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 12 | 50.00 | 79.797 | 0.584 | 19.619 | 80.089 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 50.00 | 78.669 | 0.503 | 20.828 | 78.921 |
How often this matchup comes up
Counting specific cards, TT against 43s appears in 24 of the 1,624,350 ordered heads-up deals (0.0015%), and in 48 when the seats are swapped too (0.0030%).
A worked example
Worked example: both players commit $100, so $200 sits in the middle. Over every board, TT's average share is $159.02 (a gain of $59.02) and 43s' is $40.98 (a loss of $59.02).
In 1,000 deals of exactly this matchup, expect about 792 won outright by TT, about 202 won outright by 43s and about 6 split.
The same matchup from the other side
If you came looking for 43s against TT, the numbers are the same with the hands swapped: 20.49% and 79.51%.
Keep exploring
The calculator link fills in TsTh against 4d3d, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.
How this was computed
Each figure is a complete count over boards. Take the 24 specific deals, group them by suit pattern, deal all 1,712,304 boards against each, and compare the two seven-card hands. Equity counts a tie as half a win; the flop rows use every one of a board's ten flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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