TT
61.31%
Wins 60.39%, ties 1.84%
JTs
38.69%
Wins 37.77%, ties 1.84%
TT against JTs: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT | 60.386 | 1.843 | 37.771 | 61.308 |
| JTs | 37.771 | 1.843 | 60.386 | 38.692 |
TT is a pocket pair and JTs is a suited hand. The pair already holds one of the other hand's ranks, and that overlap cuts down the cards the other hand can pair with.
TT is ahead, but JTs is far from dead: it takes 378 of every 1,000 deals outright. Ties are 1.84% of the outcomes here; each tied board gives both hands half the pot.
In the ranking of all 169 starting hands, TT is number 5 and JTs is number 45.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| TT | 12,408,000 | 379,000 | 7,761,000 |
| JTs | 7,761,000 | 379,000 | 12,408,000 |
The total is exact: 12 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT | 1.585 | 1.656 | 2.648 | 0.631 |
| JTs | 0.631 | 2.648 | 1.656 | 1.585 |
In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
The flop changes the picture. TT does best on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), at 75.16%, and worst on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, at 56.93%. TT stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.
| Flop | Share of flops | TT wins | Ties | JTs wins | TT equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.011 | 55.789 | 2.272 | 41.939 | 56.925 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.771 | 74.356 | 1.601 | 24.043 | 75.157 |
| Two-tone | 46.236 | 57.708 | 1.940 | 40.352 | 58.678 |
| Monotone | 5.151 | 56.891 | 2.802 | 40.307 | 58.292 |
| Paired | 17.831 | 68.186 | 0.866 | 30.948 | 68.619 |
Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.
Compared with a random hand
Start from the random-hand figures, 75.01% for TT and 57.53% for JTs. This opponent changes them by -13.70 and -18.84 points.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT, all flops | 61.308 | 75.012 | -13.704 | 0.81731 |
| TT, rainbow, ten or higher | 56.925 | 75.012 | -18.087 | 0.75888 |
| TT, rainbow, nine or lower | 75.157 | 75.012 | +0.145 | 1.00193 |
| TT, two-tone | 58.678 | 75.012 | -16.334 | 0.78225 |
| TT, monotone | 58.292 | 75.012 | -16.720 | 0.77710 |
| TT, paired | 68.619 | 75.012 | -6.393 | 0.91477 |
| JTs, all flops | 38.692 | 57.528 | -18.836 | 0.67258 |
| JTs, rainbow, ten or higher | 43.075 | 57.528 | -14.453 | 0.74877 |
| JTs, rainbow, nine or lower | 24.843 | 57.528 | -32.685 | 0.43184 |
| JTs, two-tone | 41.322 | 57.528 | -16.206 | 0.71829 |
| JTs, monotone | 41.708 | 57.528 | -15.820 | 0.72500 |
| JTs, paired | 31.381 | 57.528 | -26.147 | 0.54549 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Suits do not split this matchup, because no legal deal has the hands holding the same suit.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | TT wins | Ties | JTs wins | TT equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 0 | 0.00 | not possible | not possible | not possible | not possible |
| No shared suit | 12 | 100.00 | 60.386 | 1.843 | 37.771 | 61.308 |
How often this matchup comes up
You will meet this exact matchup 0.0015% of the time in a random heads-up deal: 24 of 1,624,350, counting either seat order.
A worked example
Try it with money: two players each put in $100 and the whole board runs out every possible way. TT averages $122.62 from the $200, up $22.62; JTs averages $77.38, down $22.62.
Run 1,000 deals and the tally comes out near 604 for TT, 378 for JTs and 18 ties.
The same matchup from the other side
If you came looking for JTs against TT, the numbers are the same with the hands swapped: 38.69% and 61.31%.
Keep exploring
TsTh against JdTd is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.
How this was computed
The figures are counted, not estimated: 1,712,304 boards for every suit pattern of the 12 specific deals, with both seven-card hands compared each time. Equity gives half a win for a tie. For the flop rows, a board is counted once under each of the ten flops inside it.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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