44
50.34%
Wins 49.30%, ties 2.08%
65s
49.66%
Wins 48.62%, ties 2.08%
44 against 65s: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 49.300 | 2.076 | 48.624 | 50.338 |
| 65s | 48.624 | 2.076 | 49.300 | 49.662 |
44 and 65s are a pocket pair and a suited hand, in that order. This is a pair against two overcards, a matchup that stays close because the other hand only needs one of its ranks to appear.
With only 0.68 points between them, the board decides this matchup far more than the cards in hand. Ties are 2.08% of the outcomes here; each tied board gives both hands half the pot.
The hand ranking puts 44 at 48 and 65s at 128 out of 169 starting hands.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 20,260,000 | 853,000 | 19,982,000 |
| 65s | 19,982,000 | 853,000 | 20,260,000 |
Exact total: 24 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 1.014 | 2.028 | 2.057 | 0.987 |
| 65s | 0.987 | 2.057 | 2.028 | 1.014 |
In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
Across the five flop textures 44's equity moves by 16.81 points, from 38.62% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) to 55.43% on paired flops. Low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), two-tone flops and monotone flops favor 65s, the hand that is behind overall.
| Flop | Share of flops | 44 wins | Ties | 65s wins | 44 equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 25.844 | 52.200 | 1.235 | 46.565 | 52.818 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 5.065 | 38.208 | 0.824 | 60.968 | 38.620 |
| Two-tone | 46.545 | 47.865 | 1.107 | 51.028 | 48.419 |
| Monotone | 5.212 | 47.871 | 3.499 | 48.630 | 49.621 |
| Paired | 17.334 | 52.498 | 5.868 | 41.634 | 55.432 |
A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Relative to a random opponent, 44 changes by -6.68 points (baseline 57.02%) and 65s by +6.53 points (baseline 43.13%).
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44, all flops | 50.338 | 57.023 | -6.685 | 0.88277 |
| 44, rainbow, ten or higher | 52.818 | 57.023 | -4.205 | 0.92626 |
| 44, rainbow, nine or lower | 38.620 | 57.023 | -18.403 | 0.67727 |
| 44, two-tone | 48.419 | 57.023 | -8.604 | 0.84911 |
| 44, monotone | 49.621 | 57.023 | -7.402 | 0.87019 |
| 44, paired | 55.432 | 57.023 | -1.591 | 0.97210 |
| 65s, all flops | 49.662 | 43.133 | +6.529 | 1.15137 |
| 65s, rainbow, ten or higher | 47.182 | 43.133 | +4.049 | 1.09387 |
| 65s, rainbow, nine or lower | 61.380 | 43.133 | +18.247 | 1.42304 |
| 65s, two-tone | 51.581 | 43.133 | +8.448 | 1.19586 |
| 65s, monotone | 50.379 | 43.133 | +7.246 | 1.16799 |
| 65s, paired | 44.568 | 43.133 | +1.435 | 1.03327 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Looking only at deals where the hands share a suit, 44 has 50.43%; looking only at deals where they do not, 50.24%. The two rows differ by only 0.19 points, so suits barely change this matchup.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | 44 wins | Ties | 65s wins | 44 equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 12 | 50.00 | 49.377 | 2.110 | 48.513 | 50.432 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 50.00 | 49.222 | 2.042 | 48.736 | 50.243 |
How often this matchup comes up
Out of 1,624,350 ways to deal two seats two cards each, 24 are 44 in one seat and 65s in the other (0.0015%); with the seats swapped too, 48 (0.0030%).
A worked example
Try it with money: two players each put in $100 and the whole board runs out every possible way. 44 averages $100.68 from the $200, up $0.68; 65s averages $99.32, down $0.68.
Run 1,000 deals and the tally comes out near 493 for 44, 486 for 65s and 21 ties.
The same matchup from the other side
One page covers both views. From 65s' side the equity is 49.66%, and from 44's side it is 50.34%.
Keep exploring
The calculator link fills in 4s4h against 6d5d, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.
How this was computed
We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 24 specific 44 against 65s deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
Bring your own hands to a session
Review the spots you actually play against these numbers in a Game Assessment, and leave with a one-page written plan.
Book a session