44
47.34%
Wins 46.76%, ties 1.15%
T9s
52.66%
Wins 52.09%, ties 1.15%
44 against T9s: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 46.759 | 1.152 | 52.089 | 47.335 |
| T9s | 52.089 | 1.152 | 46.759 | 52.665 |
Here a pocket pair (44) meets a suited hand (T9s). A pair against two higher cards is the classic race: the pair is usually a small favorite or close to even, and each overcard that pairs is a way to take the lead.
T9s leads by less than 6 points of equity, so the result of any one deal is close to a toss-up. Split pots make up 1.15% of the boards, and both equity figures count them as half a win each.
Place 48 of 169 belongs to 44 and place 64 belongs to T9s in the ranking against a random hand.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 19,216,000 | 473,000 | 21,406,000 |
| T9s | 21,406,000 | 473,000 | 19,216,000 |
24 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.899 | 2.139 | 1.920 | 1.113 |
| T9s | 1.113 | 1.920 | 2.139 | 0.899 |
In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
If you know the kind of flop that came, the numbers shift: T9s holds 54.30% on two-tone flops and 46.17% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). 44 is ahead on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) and paired flops, even though it trails T9s when every flop is counted.
| Flop | Share of flops | 44 wins | Ties | T9s wins | 44 equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 25.220 | 45.726 | 0.659 | 53.615 | 46.056 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 5.689 | 53.550 | 0.562 | 45.888 | 53.831 |
| Two-tone | 46.545 | 45.397 | 0.614 | 53.989 | 45.704 |
| Monotone | 5.212 | 46.435 | 3.066 | 50.499 | 47.968 |
| Paired | 17.334 | 49.787 | 2.933 | 47.280 | 51.254 |
A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Against one random hand instead, 44 holds 57.02% and T9s holds 54.03%. Facing each other changes that by -9.68 points for 44 and -1.37 points for T9s.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44, all flops | 47.335 | 57.023 | -9.688 | 0.83010 |
| 44, rainbow, ten or higher | 46.056 | 57.023 | -10.967 | 0.80767 |
| 44, rainbow, nine or lower | 53.831 | 57.023 | -3.192 | 0.94402 |
| 44, two-tone | 45.704 | 57.023 | -11.319 | 0.80150 |
| 44, monotone | 47.968 | 57.023 | -9.055 | 0.84120 |
| 44, paired | 51.254 | 57.023 | -5.769 | 0.89883 |
| T9s, all flops | 52.665 | 54.028 | -1.363 | 0.97477 |
| T9s, rainbow, ten or higher | 53.944 | 54.028 | -0.084 | 0.99845 |
| T9s, rainbow, nine or lower | 46.169 | 54.028 | -7.859 | 0.85454 |
| T9s, two-tone | 54.296 | 54.028 | +0.268 | 1.00496 |
| T9s, monotone | 52.032 | 54.028 | -1.996 | 0.96306 |
| T9s, paired | 48.746 | 54.028 | -5.282 | 0.90224 |
Does a shared suit matter?
The suit split reads 52.53% for T9s with a shared suit and 52.80% without one. T9s does better with no shared suit, by 0.27 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | 44 wins | Ties | T9s wins | 44 equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 12 | 50.00 | 46.876 | 1.189 | 51.935 | 47.470 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 50.00 | 46.642 | 1.115 | 52.243 | 47.200 |
How often this matchup comes up
44 against T9s is made up of 24 specific-card matchups in one seat order, 0.0015% of the 1,624,350 ordered deals, and 48 counting both seat orders, 0.0030%.
A worked example
A $100 all-in from each player makes a $200 pot, and the exact equity says T9s gets $105.32 of it on average and 44 gets $94.68.
Out of 1,000 deals you should see around 521 outright wins for T9s, 468 for 44, and 11 split pots.
The same matchup from the other side
One page covers both views. From T9s' side the equity is 52.66%, and from 44's side it is 47.34%.
Keep exploring
The calculator link fills in 4s4h against Td9d, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.
How this was computed
The figures are counted, not estimated: 1,712,304 boards for every suit pattern of the 24 specific deals, with both seven-card hands compared each time. Equity gives half a win for a tie. For the flop rows, a board is counted once under each of the ten flops inside it.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
Bring your own hands to a session
Review the spots you actually play against these numbers in a Game Assessment, and leave with a one-page written plan.
Book a session