54s vs 64s: preflop equity

Counting every board, the equity split is 60.61% for 64s and 39.39% for 54s, so 64s leads by 21.22 points.

54s

39.39%

Wins 27.82%, ties 23.14%

64s

60.61%

Wins 49.04%, ties 23.14%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

54s against 64s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for 54s against 64s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
54s27.82123.14249.03739.392
64s49.03723.14227.82160.608

The matchup is suited hands on both sides, 54s against 64s. The two hands share a rank, and the one with the better other card dominates: it wins most kicker battles when that shared rank hits.

The lead is steady rather than large, and the flop still has plenty of say in who wins. Split pots make up 23.14% of the boards, and both equity figures count them as half a win each.

Place 136 of 169 belongs to 54s and place 138 belongs to 64s in the ranking against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 20,547,648 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
54s5,717,0004,755,00010,076,000
64s10,076,0004,755,0005,717,000

Exact total: 12 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

54s against 64s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
54s0.6503.5942.0391.539
64s1.5392.0393.5940.650

In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

If you know the kind of flop that came, the numbers shift: 64s holds 62.15% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better and 57.08% on monotone flops. 64s stays ahead on all five textures.

54s against 64s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flops54s winsTies64s wins54s equity
Rainbow, ten or higher25.84425.71124.27050.01937.846
Rainbow, nine or lower5.06530.62815.62353.74938.440
Two-tone46.54329.48720.32250.19139.648
Monotone5.21533.86718.10448.02942.919
Paired17.33323.85332.74543.40240.226

Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

A random hand would give 54s 41.45% and 64s 41.33%. Against each other the change is -2.06 points for 54s and +19.28 for 64s.

54s and 64s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
54s, all flops39.39241.453-2.0610.95028
54s, rainbow, ten or higher37.84641.453-3.6070.91299
54s, rainbow, nine or lower38.44041.453-3.0130.92732
54s, two-tone39.64841.453-1.8050.95646
54s, monotone42.91941.453+1.4661.03537
54s, paired40.22641.453-1.2270.97040
64s, all flops60.60841.333+19.2751.46633
64s, rainbow, ten or higher62.15441.333+20.8211.50374
64s, rainbow, nine or lower61.56041.333+20.2271.48937
64s, two-tone60.35241.333+19.0191.46014
64s, monotone57.08141.333+15.7481.38100
64s, paired59.77441.333+18.4411.44616

Does a shared suit matter?

Every legal deal of 54s against 64s leaves the hands with no suit in common, so the suit split does not apply here.

54s against 64s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of deals54s winsTies64s wins54s equity
Share a suit00.00not possiblenot possiblenot possiblenot possible
No shared suit12100.0027.82123.14249.03739.392

How often this matchup comes up

The class pair covers 12 combinations of specific cards in a fixed seat order, 0.0007% of 1,624,350, and 24 (0.0015%) in either order.

A worked example

Say each player puts $100 in before the flop, making a $200 pot. On average 64s takes back $121.22 of it, which is $21.22 more than it put in, and 54s takes back $78.78, $21.22 less than it put in.

In 1,000 deals of exactly this matchup, expect about 490 won outright by 64s, about 278 won outright by 54s and about 232 split.

The same matchup from the other side

The mirror image, 64s against 54s, is 60.61% to 39.39%, and its address redirects to this page.

Try 5s4s against 6h4h in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.

How this was computed

Method: exact enumeration. The 12 specific deals are grouped by suit pattern, each is run against all 1,712,304 boards, and both seven-card hands are scored. Equity adds half of every tie, and flop textures are tallied over the ten flops inside each board.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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