65s vs 64s: preflop equity

Dealt all in against each other, 65s takes 55.50% of the pot on average and 64s takes the other 44.50%.

65s

55.50%

Wins 36.18%, ties 38.64%

64s

44.50%

Wins 25.18%, ties 38.64%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

65s against 64s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for 65s against 64s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
65s36.17938.63825.18355.498
64s25.18338.63836.17944.502

65s and 64s are both suited hands. Sharing a rank is the signature of a dominated hand, since the weaker hand is usually out-kicked when the shared rank shows up.

The lead is steady rather than large, and the flop still has plenty of say in who wins. Of every 100 boards, about 38.64 are split pots, and the equity figures already include them.

The hand ranking puts 65s at 128 and 64s at 138 out of 169 starting hands.

Boards behind the percentages: 20,547,648 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
65s7,434,0007,939,0005,175,000
64s5,175,0007,939,0007,434,000

Exact total: 12 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

65s against 64s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
65s1.2472.7643.9710.802
64s0.8023.9712.7641.247

The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.

Who is ahead on which flops

Low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) are the best for 65s (61.24%); paired flops are the worst (52.75%). 65s stays ahead on all five textures.

65s against 64s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flops65s winsTies64s wins65s equity
Rainbow, ten or higher25.84434.46842.65122.88155.794
Rainbow, nine or lower5.06549.21324.06326.72461.244
Two-tone46.54338.56934.58026.85155.859
Monotone5.21540.70527.30831.98754.359
Paired17.33327.14451.21921.63752.753

Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.

Compared with a random hand

Each hand has a baseline against a random hand: 43.13% for 65s, 41.33% for 64s. Here the change is +12.37 and +3.17 points.

65s and 64s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
65s, all flops55.49843.133+12.3651.28667
65s, rainbow, ten or higher55.79443.133+12.6611.29353
65s, rainbow, nine or lower61.24443.133+18.1111.41989
65s, two-tone55.85943.133+12.7261.29504
65s, monotone54.35943.133+11.2261.26026
65s, paired52.75343.133+9.6201.22303
64s, all flops44.50241.333+3.1691.07667
64s, rainbow, ten or higher44.20641.333+2.8731.06951
64s, rainbow, nine or lower38.75641.333-2.5770.93765
64s, two-tone44.14141.333+2.8081.06794
64s, monotone45.64141.333+4.3081.10423
64s, paired47.24741.333+5.9141.14308

Does a shared suit matter?

There is no shared-suit case for this pair, since the cards they would need are already in the other hand. Every deal is a no-shared-suit deal.

65s against 64s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of deals65s winsTies64s wins65s equity
Share a suit00.00not possiblenot possiblenot possiblenot possible
No shared suit12100.0036.17938.63825.18355.498

How often this matchup comes up

Exactly 12 specific deals fit this matchup in one seat order, which is 0.0007% of 1,624,350; both orders together give 24, or 0.0015%.

A worked example

With $100 from each side, the $200 pot is split on average as $111.00 for 65s and $89.00 for 64s; the first side gains $11.00 per all-in and the second gives up $11.00.

Run 1,000 deals and the tally comes out near 362 for 65s, 252 for 64s and 386 ties.

The same matchup from the other side

The mirror image, 64s against 65s, is 44.50% to 55.50%, and its address redirects to this page.

The calculator link fills in 6s5s against 6h4h, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.

How this was computed

We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 12 specific 65s against 64s deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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