55 vs KTo: preflop equity

The exact count puts 55 at 52.25% and KTo at 47.75% when the two hands see all five board cards.

55

52.25%

Wins 51.97%, ties 0.56%

KTo

47.75%

Wins 47.47%, ties 0.56%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

55 against KTo: the numbers

Exact preflop results for 55 against KTo, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
5551.9710.56147.46852.252
KTo47.4680.56151.97147.748

The matchup pits a pocket pair against an offsuit hand. A pair against two higher cards is the classic race: the pair is usually a small favorite or close to even, and each overcard that pairs is a way to take the lead.

With only 4.50 points between them, the board decides this matchup far more than the cards in hand. Ties are 0.56% of the outcomes here; each tied board gives both hands half the pot.

For context, 55 sits at number 27 of 169 starting hands and KTo at number 33 when each is run against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 123,285,888 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
5564,073,000692,00058,521,000
KTo58,521,000692,00064,073,000

The board total is exact, 72 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.

55 against KTo read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
551.0941.9242.1070.914
KTo0.9142.1071.9241.094

In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Break the boards down by their first three cards and 55 is strongest on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) (78.14%) and weakest on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better (45.11%). The lead reverses on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better and monotone flops: there KTo is the favorite even though 55 is ahead overall.

55 against KTo by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flops55 winsTiesKTo wins55 equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.71744.9550.30454.74145.107
Rainbow, nine or lower6.31477.7670.73721.49678.135
Two-tone46.48551.3880.37948.23351.578
Monotone5.15148.6091.89849.49349.558
Paired17.33355.1420.95643.90255.620

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Each hand has a baseline against a random hand: 60.33% for 55, 59.74% for KTo. Here the change is -8.08 and -11.99 points.

55 and KTo here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
55, all flops52.25260.325-8.0730.86617
55, rainbow, ten or higher45.10760.325-15.2180.74773
55, rainbow, nine or lower78.13560.325+17.8101.29523
55, two-tone51.57860.325-8.7470.85500
55, monotone49.55860.325-10.7670.82152
55, paired55.62060.325-4.7050.92201
KTo, all flops47.74859.739-11.9910.79928
KTo, rainbow, ten or higher54.89359.739-4.8460.91888
KTo, rainbow, nine or lower21.86559.739-37.8740.36601
KTo, two-tone48.42259.739-11.3170.81056
KTo, monotone50.44259.739-9.2970.84437
KTo, paired44.38059.739-15.3590.74290

Does a shared suit matter?

When the hands share a suit, 55 holds 52.17%; when they do not, it holds 52.68%. 55 does better with no shared suit, by 0.51 points.

55 against KTo by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of deals55 winsTiesKTo wins55 equity
Share a suit6083.3351.8780.57647.54652.166
No shared suit1216.6752.4400.48747.07352.684

How often this matchup comes up

This page stands for 72 specific-card matchups (0.0044% of 1,624,350 ordered deals), or 144 once you count the seats both ways (0.0089%).

A worked example

To see what the equity is worth, imagine $100 each in a $200 pot. 55 is worth $104.50 on average (+$4.50); KTo is worth $95.50 (-$4.50).

Think in thousands: about 520 of 1,000 go to 55, about 475 go to KTo, and about 5 are chopped.

The same matchup from the other side

One page covers both views. From KTo's side the equity is 47.75%, and from 55's side it is 52.25%.

Open the calculator with 5s5h against KdTc already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.

How this was computed

The figures are counted, not estimated: 1,712,304 boards for every suit pattern of the 72 specific deals, with both seven-card hands compared each time. Equity gives half a win for a tie. For the flop rows, a board is counted once under each of the ten flops inside it.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

Bring your own hands to a session

Review the spots you actually play against these numbers in a Game Assessment, and leave with a one-page written plan.

Book a session