QJs
43.82%
Wins 43.47%, ties 0.69%
KTo
56.18%
Wins 55.84%, ties 0.69%
QJs against KTo: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QJs | 43.473 | 0.687 | 55.840 | 43.816 |
| KTo | 55.840 | 0.687 | 43.473 | 56.184 |
Here a suited hand (QJs) meets an offsuit hand (KTo). With no overlap in ranks, every card that pairs one hand is a card that does not pair the other.
The lead is steady rather than large, and the flop still has plenty of say in who wins. Ties are 0.69% of the outcomes here; each tied board gives both hands half the pot.
By strength against a random hand, QJs holds place 28 of 169 and KTo holds place 33.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| QJs | 35,731,000 | 565,000 | 45,895,000 |
| KTo | 45,895,000 | 565,000 | 35,731,000 |
The board total is exact, 48 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QJs | 0.780 | 2.300 | 1.791 | 1.282 |
| KTo | 1.282 | 1.791 | 2.300 | 0.780 |
The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.
Who is ahead on which flops
The flop changes the picture. KTo does best on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), at 72.07%, and worst on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, at 51.76%. KTo stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.
| Flop | Share of flops | QJs wins | Ties | KTo wins | QJs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.260 | 48.110 | 0.262 | 51.628 | 48.241 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.770 | 27.466 | 0.935 | 71.599 | 27.934 |
| Two-tone | 46.667 | 45.539 | 0.396 | 54.065 | 45.737 |
| Monotone | 5.212 | 44.656 | 2.464 | 52.880 | 45.888 |
| Paired | 17.091 | 38.440 | 1.402 | 60.158 | 39.141 |
Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Compared with a random opponent, this matchup shifts QJs from 60.26% by -16.44 points and KTo from 59.74% by -3.56 points.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QJs, all flops | 43.816 | 60.259 | -16.443 | 0.72713 |
| QJs, rainbow, ten or higher | 48.241 | 60.259 | -12.018 | 0.80056 |
| QJs, rainbow, nine or lower | 27.934 | 60.259 | -32.325 | 0.46357 |
| QJs, two-tone | 45.737 | 60.259 | -14.522 | 0.75901 |
| QJs, monotone | 45.888 | 60.259 | -14.371 | 0.76151 |
| QJs, paired | 39.141 | 60.259 | -21.118 | 0.64955 |
| KTo, all flops | 56.184 | 59.739 | -3.555 | 0.94049 |
| KTo, rainbow, ten or higher | 51.759 | 59.739 | -7.980 | 0.86642 |
| KTo, rainbow, nine or lower | 72.066 | 59.739 | +12.327 | 1.20635 |
| KTo, two-tone | 54.263 | 59.739 | -5.476 | 0.90833 |
| KTo, monotone | 54.112 | 59.739 | -5.627 | 0.90581 |
| KTo, paired | 60.859 | 59.739 | +1.120 | 1.01875 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Split by suits, the deals give KTo 56.64% when the hands overlap in a suit and 55.73% when they do not. KTo does better with a shared suit, by 0.91 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | QJs wins | Ties | KTo wins | QJs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 24 | 50.00 | 42.998 | 0.726 | 56.276 | 43.361 |
| No shared suit | 24 | 50.00 | 43.949 | 0.647 | 55.404 | 44.272 |
How often this matchup comes up
QJs against KTo is made up of 48 specific-card matchups in one seat order, 0.0030% of the 1,624,350 ordered deals, and 96 counting both seat orders, 0.0059%.
A worked example
Say each player puts $100 in before the flop, making a $200 pot. On average KTo takes back $112.36 of it, which is $12.36 more than it put in, and QJs takes back $87.64, $12.36 less than it put in.
Think in thousands: about 558 of 1,000 go to KTo, about 435 go to QJs, and about 7 are chopped.
The same matchup from the other side
The mirror image, KTo against QJs, is 56.18% to 43.82%, and its address redirects to this page.
Keep exploring
Try QsJs against KhTd in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.
How this was computed
All 1,712,304 five-card boards are dealt for every suit pattern among the 48 specific deals of QJs against KTo, and both hands are scored on each. That is a full count, so the percentages are exact. Ties are half a win each, and each board appears once per flop it contains.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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