65s vs 54s: preflop equity

The exact count puts 65s at 61.53% and 54s at 38.47% when the two hands see all five board cards.

65s

61.53%

Wins 50.01%, ties 23.05%

54s

38.47%

Wins 26.94%, ties 23.05%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

65s against 54s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for 65s against 54s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
65s50.00523.04826.94761.529
54s26.94723.04850.00538.471

Each side holds one of the suited hands: 65s and 54s. The two hands share a rank, and the one with the better other card dominates: it wins most kicker battles when that shared rank hits.

The lead is steady rather than large, and the flop still has plenty of say in who wins. Ties are 23.05% of the outcomes here; each tied board gives both hands half the pot.

Ranked by equity against a random hand, 65s is number 128 of the 169 starting hands and 54s is number 136.

Boards behind the percentages: 20,547,648 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
65s10,275,0004,736,0005,537,000
54s5,537,0004,736,00010,275,000

The board total is exact, 12 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.

65s against 54s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
65s1.5992.0003.7110.625
54s0.6253.7112.0001.599

In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Break the boards down by their first three cards and 65s is strongest on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) (63.77%) and weakest on monotone flops (57.80%). 65s stays ahead on all five textures.

65s against 54s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flops65s winsTies54s wins65s equity
Rainbow, ten or higher25.84450.86623.99125.14362.861
Rainbow, nine or lower5.06555.93315.68028.38763.773
Two-tone46.54351.12520.19728.67861.224
Monotone5.21548.71218.17933.10957.801
Paired17.33344.36932.91522.71660.827

Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Compared with a random opponent, this matchup shifts 65s from 43.13% by +18.40 points and 54s from 41.45% by -2.98 points.

65s and 54s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
65s, all flops61.52943.133+18.3961.42649
65s, rainbow, ten or higher62.86143.133+19.7281.45738
65s, rainbow, nine or lower63.77343.133+20.6401.47852
65s, two-tone61.22443.133+18.0911.41942
65s, monotone57.80143.133+14.6681.34006
65s, paired60.82743.133+17.6941.41022
54s, all flops38.47141.453-2.9820.92806
54s, rainbow, ten or higher37.13941.453-4.3140.89593
54s, rainbow, nine or lower36.22741.453-5.2260.87393
54s, two-tone38.77641.453-2.6770.93542
54s, monotone42.19941.453+0.7461.01800
54s, paired39.17341.453-2.2800.94500

Does a shared suit matter?

For this pair the shared-suit row is empty: the two hands cannot both own a card of one suit without reusing a card.

65s against 54s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of deals65s winsTies54s wins65s equity
Share a suit00.00not possiblenot possiblenot possiblenot possible
No shared suit12100.0050.00523.04826.94761.529

How often this matchup comes up

Counting specific cards, 65s against 54s appears in 12 of the 1,624,350 ordered heads-up deals (0.0007%), and in 24 when the seats are swapped too (0.0015%).

A worked example

With $100 from each side, the $200 pot is split on average as $123.06 for 65s and $76.94 for 54s; the first side gains $23.06 per all-in and the second gives up $23.06.

Scaled to 1,000 deals, that is roughly 500 wins for 65s, 269 for 54s and 231 chopped pots.

The same matchup from the other side

The mirror image, 54s against 65s, is 38.47% to 61.53%, and its address redirects to this page.

Open the calculator with 6s5s against 5h4h already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.

How this was computed

This is an exact count with no sampling. For the 12 ways to deal one 65s and one 54s without reusing a card, grouped by suit pattern, every one of the 1,712,304 possible boards is dealt and both seven-card hands are compared. A tie counts as half a win in the equity column, and each board is counted once under each of its ten three-card flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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