66
49.55%
Wins 49.28%, ties 0.54%
QTs
50.45%
Wins 50.18%, ties 0.54%
66 against QTs: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 49.276 | 0.539 | 50.185 | 49.545 |
| QTs | 50.185 | 0.539 | 49.276 | 50.455 |
We compare a pocket pair with a suited hand. A pair against two higher cards is the classic race: the pair is usually a small favorite or close to even, and each overcard that pairs is a way to take the lead.
That is a slim edge: neither hand is far ahead. A split pot comes up on 0.54% of boards, so the wins and the equity differ by half of that.
Ranked by equity against a random hand, 66 is number 17 of the 169 starting hands and QTs is number 34.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 20,250,000 | 222,000 | 20,624,000 |
| QTs | 20,624,000 | 222,000 | 20,250,000 |
The total is exact: 24 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.982 | 2.029 | 1.993 | 1.018 |
| QTs | 1.018 | 1.993 | 2.029 | 0.982 |
The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.
Who is ahead on which flops
If you know the kind of flop that came, the numbers shift: QTs holds 57.00% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better and 24.30% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). Low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) and paired flops favor 66, the hand that is behind overall.
| Flop | Share of flops | 66 wins | Ties | QTs wins | 66 equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 24.595 | 42.873 | 0.256 | 56.871 | 43.001 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 6.314 | 75.422 | 0.561 | 24.017 | 75.703 |
| Two-tone | 46.545 | 47.558 | 0.304 | 52.138 | 47.710 |
| Monotone | 5.212 | 48.309 | 2.495 | 49.196 | 49.557 |
| Paired | 17.334 | 53.741 | 0.977 | 45.282 | 54.229 |
Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Start from the random-hand figures, 63.29% for 66 and 59.47% for QTs. This opponent changes them by -13.74 and -9.02 points.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66, all flops | 49.545 | 63.285 | -13.740 | 0.78289 |
| 66, rainbow, ten or higher | 43.001 | 63.285 | -20.284 | 0.67948 |
| 66, rainbow, nine or lower | 75.703 | 63.285 | +12.418 | 1.19622 |
| 66, two-tone | 47.710 | 63.285 | -15.575 | 0.75389 |
| 66, monotone | 49.557 | 63.285 | -13.728 | 0.78308 |
| 66, paired | 54.229 | 63.285 | -9.056 | 0.85690 |
| QTs, all flops | 50.455 | 59.468 | -9.013 | 0.84844 |
| QTs, rainbow, ten or higher | 56.999 | 59.468 | -2.469 | 0.95848 |
| QTs, rainbow, nine or lower | 24.297 | 59.468 | -35.171 | 0.40857 |
| QTs, two-tone | 52.290 | 59.468 | -7.178 | 0.87930 |
| QTs, monotone | 50.443 | 59.468 | -9.025 | 0.84824 |
| QTs, paired | 45.771 | 59.468 | -13.697 | 0.76967 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Suit overlap shows up in the numbers. With a suit in common QTs has 50.31% equity, and with none in common it has 50.60%. QTs does better with no shared suit, by 0.29 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | 66 wins | Ties | QTs wins | 66 equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 12 | 50.00 | 49.400 | 0.582 | 50.018 | 49.691 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 50.00 | 49.151 | 0.496 | 50.353 | 49.399 |
How often this matchup comes up
66 against QTs is made up of 24 specific-card matchups in one seat order, 0.0015% of the 1,624,350 ordered deals, and 48 counting both seat orders, 0.0030%.
A worked example
Say each player puts $100 in before the flop, making a $200 pot. On average QTs takes back $100.90 of it, which is $0.90 more than it put in, and 66 takes back $99.10, $0.90 less than it put in.
Over a long run, 1,000 deals split into about 502 for QTs, 493 for 66 and 5 tied.
The same matchup from the other side
The reversed view, QTs against 66, shows 50.45% for QTs and 49.55% for 66. It is the same count, so it redirects here.
Keep exploring
Try 6s6h against QdTd in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.
How this was computed
Nothing here is simulated. The 24 deals of 66 against QTs fall into a few suit patterns, each dealt against all 1,712,304 boards, with both best five-card hands compared on every board. Ties give each hand half a win, and the flop rows count a board under each of its ten flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
Bring your own hands to a session
Review the spots you actually play against these numbers in a Game Assessment, and leave with a one-page written plan.
Book a session