77 vs 44: preflop equity

If 77 and 44 get all the chips in before the flop, 77 owns 81.28% of the pot in the long run and 44 owns 18.72%.

77

81.28%

Wins 80.58%, ties 1.41%

44

18.72%

Wins 18.01%, ties 1.41%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

77 against 44: the numbers

Exact preflop results for 77 against 44, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
7780.5791.40618.01581.282
4418.0151.40680.57918.718

Here pocket pairs face each other, 77 on one side and 44 on the other. Two pairs against each other is a one-way street: the lower pair needs one of its two remaining cards.

This is one of the lopsided matchups: 44 wins only 18.01% of the boards outright. Ties are 1.41% of the outcomes here; each tied board gives both hands half the pot.

77 ranks number 9 of 169 starting hands, and 44 ranks number 48, by equity against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 61,642,944 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
7749,671,000867,00011,105,000
4411,105,000867,00049,671,000

Exact total: 36 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

77 against 44 read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
774.3421.2415.5510.230
440.2305.5511.2414.342

The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Break the boards down by their first three cards and 77 is strongest on paired flops (85.26%) and weakest on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) (73.63%). 77 stays ahead on all five textures.

77 against 44 by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flops77 winsTies44 wins77 equity
Rainbow, ten or higher25.84482.1300.86417.00682.562
Rainbow, nine or lower5.06573.3130.64226.04573.634
Two-tone46.36380.0910.81119.09880.497
Monotone5.15274.6432.49022.86775.888
Paired17.57683.4243.67312.90385.260

Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.

Compared with a random hand

Compared with a random opponent, this matchup shifts 77 from 66.24% by +15.04 points and 44 from 57.02% by -38.30 points.

77 and 44 here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
77, all flops81.28266.236+15.0461.22716
77, rainbow, ten or higher82.56266.236+16.3261.24648
77, rainbow, nine or lower73.63466.236+7.3981.11169
77, two-tone80.49766.236+14.2611.21531
77, monotone75.88866.236+9.6521.14572
77, paired85.26066.236+19.0241.28722
44, all flops18.71857.023-38.3050.32825
44, rainbow, ten or higher17.43857.023-39.5850.30581
44, rainbow, nine or lower26.36657.023-30.6570.46237
44, two-tone19.50357.023-37.5200.34202
44, monotone24.11257.023-32.9110.42285
44, paired14.74057.023-42.2830.25849

Does a shared suit matter?

Two kinds of deal exist here. In 30 of them the hands share a suit and 77 holds 81.42%. In 6 they do not, and it holds 80.61%. 77 does better with a shared suit, by 0.81 points.

77 against 44 by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of deals77 winsTies44 wins77 equity
Share a suit3083.3380.7081.41917.87381.418
No shared suit616.6779.9361.33918.72580.606

How often this matchup comes up

You will meet this exact matchup 0.0044% of the time in a random heads-up deal: 72 of 1,624,350, counting either seat order.

A worked example

A $100 all-in from each player makes a $200 pot, and the exact equity says 77 gets $162.56 of it on average and 44 gets $37.44.

A thousand deals look like this: 77 takes 806, 44 takes 180, 14 are ties.

The same matchup from the other side

44 against 77 adds nothing new: it is 18.72% for 44 and 81.28% for 77, the same figures reversed.

Open the calculator with 7s7h against 4d4c already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.

How this was computed

Nothing here is simulated. The 36 deals of 77 against 44 fall into a few suit patterns, each dealt against all 1,712,304 boards, with both best five-card hands compared on every board. Ties give each hand half a win, and the flop rows count a board under each of its ten flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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