77 vs A5s: preflop equity

The exact count puts 77 at 65.77% and A5s at 34.23% when the two hands see all five board cards.

77

65.77%

Wins 65.55%, ties 0.43%

A5s

34.23%

Wins 34.02%, ties 0.43%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

77 against A5s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for 77 against A5s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
7765.5540.43334.01365.771
A5s34.0130.43365.55434.229

One side is a pocket pair, the other is a suited hand. One of the other hand's cards outranks the pair and one is below it, which makes this a closer race than a pair against two small cards.

77 is well ahead, and A5s needs a specific kind of board to catch up. The tie share is 0.43%: on those boards the pot is chopped and neither hand wins outright.

For context, 77 sits at number 9 of 169 starting hands and A5s at number 30 when each is run against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 41,095,296 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
7726,940,000178,00013,978,000
A5s13,978,000178,00026,940,000

The total is exact: 24 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.

77 against A5s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
771.9211.5252.9400.520
A5s0.5202.9401.5251.921

The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Across the five flop textures 77's equity moves by 14.24 points, from 62.11% on monotone flops to 76.35% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). 77 stays ahead on all five textures.

77 against A5s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flops77 winsTiesA5s wins77 equity
Rainbow, ten or higher25.22065.4920.24134.26765.612
Rainbow, nine or lower5.68976.0470.61523.33876.354
Two-tone46.54564.3080.28835.40464.452
Monotone5.21260.9042.41836.67862.113
Paired17.33466.9470.44732.60667.171

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

A random hand would give 77 66.24% and A5s 59.92%. Against each other the change is -0.47 points for 77 and -25.69 for A5s.

77 and A5s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
77, all flops65.77166.236-0.4650.99298
77, rainbow, ten or higher65.61266.236-0.6240.99058
77, rainbow, nine or lower76.35466.236+10.1181.15276
77, two-tone64.45266.236-1.7840.97307
77, monotone62.11366.236-4.1230.93775
77, paired67.17166.236+0.9351.01412
A5s, all flops34.22959.923-25.6940.57122
A5s, rainbow, ten or higher34.38859.923-25.5350.57387
A5s, rainbow, nine or lower23.64659.923-36.2770.39461
A5s, two-tone35.54859.923-24.3750.59323
A5s, monotone37.88759.923-22.0360.63226
A5s, paired32.82959.923-27.0940.54785

Does a shared suit matter?

Looking only at deals where the hands share a suit, 77 has 66.04%; looking only at deals where they do not, 65.50%. 77 does better with a shared suit, by 0.54 points.

77 against A5s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of deals77 winsTiesA5s wins77 equity
Share a suit1250.0065.8020.47733.72166.041
No shared suit1250.0065.3070.38934.30465.501

How often this matchup comes up

Out of 1,624,350 ways to deal two seats two cards each, 24 are 77 in one seat and A5s in the other (0.0015%); with the seats swapped too, 48 (0.0030%).

A worked example

To see what the equity is worth, imagine $100 each in a $200 pot. 77 is worth $131.54 on average (+$31.54); A5s is worth $68.46 (-$31.54).

Per 1,000 deals: 77 wins about 656, A5s wins about 340, and about 4 end in a split pot.

The same matchup from the other side

The reversed view, A5s against 77, shows 34.23% for A5s and 65.77% for 77. It is the same count, so it redirects here.

The calculator link fills in 7s7h against Ad5d, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.

How this was computed

Nothing here is simulated. The 24 deals of 77 against A5s fall into a few suit patterns, each dealt against all 1,712,304 boards, with both best five-card hands compared on every board. Ties give each hand half a win, and the flop rows count a board under each of its ten flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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