77 vs KTo: preflop equity

Over all 1,712,304 boards that can follow this deal, 77 finishes with 53.89% of the pot and KTo with 46.11%.

77

53.89%

Wins 53.69%, ties 0.41%

KTo

46.11%

Wins 45.90%, ties 0.41%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

77 against KTo: the numbers

Exact preflop results for 77 against KTo, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
7753.6880.41145.90153.894
KTo45.9010.41153.68846.106

Here a pocket pair (77) meets an offsuit hand (KTo). This is a pair against two overcards, a matchup that stays close because the other hand only needs one of its ranks to appear.

77 leads by less than 8 points of equity, so the result of any one deal is close to a toss-up. About 0.41% of boards chop the pot, which is why equity sits slightly above the win figure for both hands.

The hand ranking puts 77 at 9 and KTo at 33 out of 169 starting hands.

Boards behind the percentages: 123,285,888 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
7766,190,000507,00056,589,000
KTo56,589,000507,00066,190,000

Exact total: 72 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

77 against KTo read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
771.1691.8632.1790.855
KTo0.8552.1791.8631.169

The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.

Who is ahead on which flops

77 prefers low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), where it holds 80.50%, and likes rainbow flops topped by a ten or better least, where it holds 46.25%. Rainbow flops topped by a ten or better favor KTo, the hand that is behind overall.

77 against KTo by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flops77 winsTiesKTo wins77 equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.71746.1350.23453.63146.252
Rainbow, nine or lower6.31480.2220.56419.21480.504
Two-tone46.48552.7810.29046.92952.926
Monotone5.15149.8001.70848.49250.654
Paired17.33358.3830.54841.06958.657

Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.

Compared with a random hand

Relative to a random opponent, 77 changes by -12.35 points (baseline 66.24%) and KTo by -13.63 points (baseline 59.74%).

77 and KTo here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
77, all flops53.89466.236-12.3420.81367
77, rainbow, ten or higher46.25266.236-19.9840.69829
77, rainbow, nine or lower80.50466.236+14.2681.21541
77, two-tone52.92666.236-13.3100.79905
77, monotone50.65466.236-15.5820.76475
77, paired58.65766.236-7.5790.88558
KTo, all flops46.10659.739-13.6330.77179
KTo, rainbow, ten or higher53.74859.739-5.9910.89971
KTo, rainbow, nine or lower19.49659.739-40.2430.32635
KTo, two-tone47.07459.739-12.6650.78799
KTo, monotone49.34659.739-10.3930.82603
KTo, paired41.34359.739-18.3960.69206

Does a shared suit matter?

Two kinds of deal exist here. In 60 of them the hands share a suit and 77 holds 53.81%. In 12 they do not, and it holds 54.32%. 77 does better with no shared suit, by 0.51 points.

77 against KTo by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of deals77 winsTiesKTo wins77 equity
Share a suit6083.3353.5960.42745.97753.809
No shared suit1216.6754.1520.33345.51554.318

How often this matchup comes up

Counting specific cards, 77 against KTo appears in 72 of the 1,624,350 ordered heads-up deals (0.0044%), and in 144 when the seats are swapped too (0.0089%).

A worked example

Put $100 each into a $200 pot and deal every board once: 77 averages $107.78 back, ahead of its $100 by $7.78, while KTo averages $92.22, short of its $100 by $7.78.

A thousand deals look like this: 77 takes 537, KTo takes 459, 4 are ties.

The same matchup from the other side

One page covers both views. From KTo's side the equity is 46.11%, and from 77's side it is 53.89%.

Open the calculator with 7s7h against KdTc already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.

How this was computed

Method: exact enumeration. The 72 specific deals are grouped by suit pattern, each is run against all 1,712,304 boards, and both seven-card hands are scored. Equity adds half of every tie, and flop textures are tallied over the ten flops inside each board.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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