77 vs AJo: preflop equity

Before any board card is dealt, 77 holds 54.65% equity against AJo, which leaves AJo with 45.35%.

77

54.65%

Wins 54.46%, ties 0.37%

AJo

45.35%

Wins 45.17%, ties 0.37%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

77 against AJo: the numbers

Exact preflop results for 77 against AJo, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
7754.4640.36945.16754.648
AJo45.1670.36954.46445.352

77 and AJo are a pocket pair and an offsuit hand, in that order. One hand holds a pair and the other holds two cards that both outrank it, which keeps the equity closer than most people expect.

77 leads by less than 10 points of equity, so the result of any one deal is close to a toss-up. Split pots make up 0.37% of the boards, and both equity figures count them as half a win each.

For context, 77 sits at number 9 of 169 starting hands and AJo at number 15 when each is run against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 123,285,888 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
7767,146,000455,00055,685,000
AJo55,685,000455,00067,146,000

The total is exact: 72 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.

77 against AJo read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
771.2051.8362.2140.830
AJo0.8302.2141.8361.205

The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.

Who is ahead on which flops

By flop texture, 77's equity runs from 47.50% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better up to 79.80% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). AJo takes over on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, so the favorite before the flop is the underdog on those boards.

77 against AJo by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flops77 winsTiesAJo wins77 equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.71747.4070.19152.40247.503
Rainbow, nine or lower6.31479.4690.65319.87879.796
Two-tone46.48553.6160.27446.11053.753
Monotone5.15150.4391.69247.86951.285
Paired17.33358.8860.38240.73259.077

Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.

Compared with a random hand

The table below sets each hand against its own random-hand baseline: a change of -11.59 points for 77, from 66.24%, and -18.21 for AJo, from 63.56%.

77 and AJo here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
77, all flops54.64866.236-11.5880.82505
77, rainbow, ten or higher47.50366.236-18.7330.71718
77, rainbow, nine or lower79.79666.236+13.5601.20472
77, two-tone53.75366.236-12.4830.81154
77, monotone51.28566.236-14.9510.77428
77, paired59.07766.236-7.1590.89192
AJo, all flops45.35263.563-18.2110.71350
AJo, rainbow, ten or higher52.49763.563-11.0660.82591
AJo, rainbow, nine or lower20.20463.563-43.3590.31786
AJo, two-tone46.24763.563-17.3160.72758
AJo, monotone48.71563.563-14.8480.76640
AJo, paired40.92363.563-22.6400.64382

Does a shared suit matter?

When the hands share a suit, 77 holds 54.57%; when they do not, it holds 55.06%. 77 does better with no shared suit, by 0.49 points.

77 against AJo by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of deals77 winsTiesAJo wins77 equity
Share a suit6083.3354.3730.38545.24254.566
No shared suit1216.6754.9140.29044.79655.059

How often this matchup comes up

77 against AJo is made up of 72 specific-card matchups in one seat order, 0.0044% of the 1,624,350 ordered deals, and 144 counting both seat orders, 0.0089%.

A worked example

With $100 from each side, the $200 pot is split on average as $109.30 for 77 and $90.70 for AJo; the first side gains $9.30 per all-in and the second gives up $9.30.

In 1,000 deals of exactly this matchup, expect about 544 won outright by 77, about 452 won outright by AJo and about 4 split.

The same matchup from the other side

AJo against 77 adds nothing new: it is 45.35% for AJo and 54.65% for 77, the same figures reversed.

Try 7s7h against AdJc in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.

How this was computed

We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 72 specific 77 against AJo deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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