77 vs KQs: preflop equity

Dealt all in against each other, 77 takes 51.13% of the pot on average and KQs takes the other 48.87%.

77

51.13%

Wins 50.91%, ties 0.44%

KQs

48.87%

Wins 48.65%, ties 0.44%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

77 against KQs: the numbers

Exact preflop results for 77 against KQs, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
7750.9060.44448.65051.128
KQs48.6500.44450.90648.872

77 and KQs are a pocket pair and a suited hand, in that order. This is a pair against two overcards, a matchup that stays close because the other hand only needs one of its ranks to appear.

That is a slim edge: neither hand is far ahead. The tie share is 0.44%: on those boards the pot is chopped and neither hand wins outright.

Place 9 of 169 belongs to 77 and place 16 belongs to KQs in the ranking against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 41,095,296 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
7720,920,000182,00019,993,000
KQs19,993,000182,00020,920,000

The board total is exact, 24 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.

77 against KQs read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
771.0461.9642.0550.956
KQs0.9562.0551.9641.046

The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Split by what the flop looks like, 77 peaks at 78.42% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) and bottoms out at 44.43% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better. 77 is the favorite overall but falls behind on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better and two-tone flops.

77 against KQs by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flops77 winsTiesKQs wins77 equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.59544.3290.20155.47044.430
Rainbow, nine or lower6.31478.0690.71121.22078.424
Two-tone46.54549.0910.28450.62549.233
Monotone5.21249.4452.41448.14150.652
Paired17.33455.6590.53143.81055.925

Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.

Compared with a random hand

How much does the opponent matter? Compared with its random-hand 66.24%, 77 changes by -15.11 points, and KQs, from 63.40%, by -14.53.

77 and KQs here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
77, all flops51.12866.236-15.1080.77191
77, rainbow, ten or higher44.43066.236-21.8060.67078
77, rainbow, nine or lower78.42466.236+12.1881.18401
77, two-tone49.23366.236-17.0030.74330
77, monotone50.65266.236-15.5840.76472
77, paired55.92566.236-10.3110.84433
KQs, all flops48.87263.400-14.5280.77085
KQs, rainbow, ten or higher55.57063.400-7.8300.87650
KQs, rainbow, nine or lower21.57663.400-41.8240.34032
KQs, two-tone50.76763.400-12.6330.80074
KQs, monotone49.34863.400-14.0520.77836
KQs, paired44.07563.400-19.3250.69519

Does a shared suit matter?

Looking only at deals where the hands share a suit, 77 has 51.30%; looking only at deals where they do not, 50.96%. 77 does better with a shared suit, by 0.34 points.

77 against KQs by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of deals77 winsTiesKQs wins77 equity
Share a suit1250.0051.0560.48948.45551.301
No shared suit1250.0050.7560.40048.84450.956

How often this matchup comes up

Counting specific cards, 77 against KQs appears in 24 of the 1,624,350 ordered heads-up deals (0.0015%), and in 48 when the seats are swapped too (0.0030%).

A worked example

With $100 from each side, the $200 pot is split on average as $102.26 for 77 and $97.74 for KQs; the first side gains $2.26 per all-in and the second gives up $2.26.

Over a long run, 1,000 deals split into about 509 for 77, 487 for KQs and 4 tied.

The same matchup from the other side

If you came looking for KQs against 77, the numbers are the same with the hands swapped: 48.87% and 51.13%.

Try 7s7h against KdQd in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.

How this was computed

This is an exact count with no sampling. For the 24 ways to deal one 77 and one KQs without reusing a card, grouped by suit pattern, every one of the 1,712,304 possible boards is dealt and both seven-card hands are compared. A tie counts as half a win in the equity column, and each board is counted once under each of its ten three-card flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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