77 vs A9s: preflop equity

If 77 and A9s get all the chips in before the flop, 77 owns 53.64% of the pot in the long run and A9s owns 46.36%.

77

53.64%

Wins 53.44%, ties 0.40%

A9s

46.36%

Wins 46.16%, ties 0.40%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

77 against A9s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for 77 against A9s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
7753.4430.39546.16253.641
A9s46.1620.39553.44346.359

77 and A9s are a pocket pair and a suited hand, in that order. A pair against two higher cards is the classic race: the pair is usually a small favorite or close to even, and each overcard that pairs is a way to take the lead.

With only 7.28 points between them, the board decides this matchup far more than the cards in hand. Ties are part of the picture: 0.40% of boards end in a split pot, and each side counts that as half a win.

77 ranks number 9 of 169 starting hands, and A9s ranks number 18, by equity against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 41,095,296 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
7721,963,000162,00018,970,000
A9s18,970,000162,00021,963,000

Exact total: 24 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

77 against A9s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
771.1571.8712.1660.864
A9s0.8642.1661.8711.157

In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Break the boards down by their first three cards and 77 is strongest on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) (61.00%) and weakest on two-tone flops (51.88%). 77 stays ahead on all five textures.

77 against A9s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flops77 winsTiesA9s wins77 equity
Rainbow, ten or higher25.22052.6580.21747.12552.766
Rainbow, nine or lower5.68960.7360.52238.74260.997
Two-tone46.54551.7560.25547.98951.884
Monotone5.21251.2762.39246.33252.472
Paired17.33457.3720.39042.23857.567

Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.

Compared with a random hand

A random hand would give 77 66.24% and A9s 62.78%. Against each other the change is -12.60 points for 77 and -16.42 for A9s.

77 and A9s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
77, all flops53.64166.236-12.5950.80985
77, rainbow, ten or higher52.76666.236-13.4700.79664
77, rainbow, nine or lower60.99766.236-5.2390.92090
77, two-tone51.88466.236-14.3520.78332
77, monotone52.47266.236-13.7640.79220
77, paired57.56766.236-8.6690.86912
A9s, all flops46.35962.781-16.4220.73842
A9s, rainbow, ten or higher47.23462.781-15.5470.75236
A9s, rainbow, nine or lower39.00362.781-23.7780.62125
A9s, two-tone48.11662.781-14.6650.76641
A9s, monotone47.52862.781-15.2530.75704
A9s, paired42.43362.781-20.3480.67589

Does a shared suit matter?

Two kinds of deal exist here. In 12 of them the hands share a suit and 77 holds 53.82%. In 12 they do not, and it holds 53.46%. 77 does better with a shared suit, by 0.36 points.

77 against A9s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of deals77 winsTiesA9s wins77 equity
Share a suit1250.0053.6020.43745.96153.820
No shared suit1250.0053.2840.35346.36353.461

How often this matchup comes up

Counting specific cards, 77 against A9s appears in 24 of the 1,624,350 ordered heads-up deals (0.0015%), and in 48 when the seats are swapped too (0.0030%).

A worked example

A $100 all-in from each player makes a $200 pot, and the exact equity says 77 gets $107.28 of it on average and A9s gets $92.72.

Think in thousands: about 534 of 1,000 go to 77, about 462 go to A9s, and about 4 are chopped.

The same matchup from the other side

A9s versus 77 is this same page seen from the other hand: 46.36% for A9s, 53.64% for 77.

The calculator link fills in 7s7h against Ad9d, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.

How this was computed

The figures are counted, not estimated: 1,712,304 boards for every suit pattern of the 24 specific deals, with both seven-card hands compared each time. Equity gives half a win for a tie. For the flop rows, a board is counted once under each of the ten flops inside it.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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