AQs
70.66%
Wins 68.00%, ties 5.33%
A9s
29.34%
Wins 26.67%, ties 5.33%
AQs against A9s: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AQs | 67.996 | 5.333 | 26.671 | 70.662 |
| A9s | 26.671 | 5.333 | 67.996 | 29.338 |
Each side holds one of the suited hands: AQs and A9s. Because the hands share one rank, the one with the higher kicker is ahead when that rank pairs and the other hand is mostly drawing.
That is a clear edge, 70.66% to 29.34%, but A9s still wins often enough that one hand proves nothing. A split pot comes up on 5.33% of boards, so the wins and the equity differ by half of that.
The hand ranking puts AQs at 10 and A9s at 18 out of 169 starting hands.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| AQs | 13,972,000 | 1,096,000 | 5,480,000 |
| A9s | 5,480,000 | 1,096,000 | 13,972,000 |
12 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AQs | 2.409 | 1.471 | 3.749 | 0.415 |
| A9s | 0.415 | 3.749 | 1.471 | 2.409 |
The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
The flop changes the picture. AQs does best on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, at 77.00%, and worst on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), at 59.69%. AQs stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.
| Flop | Share of flops | AQs wins | Ties | A9s wins | AQs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.867 | 75.293 | 3.419 | 21.288 | 77.002 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.042 | 57.555 | 4.268 | 38.177 | 59.689 |
| Two-tone | 46.543 | 68.450 | 3.275 | 28.275 | 70.087 |
| Monotone | 5.215 | 61.711 | 5.200 | 33.089 | 64.311 |
| Paired | 17.333 | 62.862 | 13.969 | 23.169 | 69.847 |
A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Start from the random-hand figures, 66.21% for AQs and 62.78% for A9s. This opponent changes them by +4.45 and -33.44 points.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AQs, all flops | 70.662 | 66.209 | +4.453 | 1.06726 |
| AQs, rainbow, ten or higher | 77.002 | 66.209 | +10.793 | 1.16301 |
| AQs, rainbow, nine or lower | 59.689 | 66.209 | -6.520 | 0.90152 |
| AQs, two-tone | 70.087 | 66.209 | +3.878 | 1.05857 |
| AQs, monotone | 64.311 | 66.209 | -1.898 | 0.97133 |
| AQs, paired | 69.847 | 66.209 | +3.638 | 1.05495 |
| A9s, all flops | 29.338 | 62.781 | -33.443 | 0.46731 |
| A9s, rainbow, ten or higher | 22.998 | 62.781 | -39.783 | 0.36632 |
| A9s, rainbow, nine or lower | 40.311 | 62.781 | -22.470 | 0.64209 |
| A9s, two-tone | 29.913 | 62.781 | -32.868 | 0.47647 |
| A9s, monotone | 35.689 | 62.781 | -27.092 | 0.56847 |
| A9s, paired | 30.153 | 62.781 | -32.628 | 0.48029 |
Does a shared suit matter?
These two classes cannot share a suit in any legal deal, so there is only one row to read: AQs holds 70.66% in every deal of this matchup.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | AQs wins | Ties | A9s wins | AQs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 0 | 0.00 | not possible | not possible | not possible | not possible |
| No shared suit | 12 | 100.00 | 67.996 | 5.333 | 26.671 | 70.662 |
How often this matchup comes up
AQs against A9s is made up of 12 specific-card matchups in one seat order, 0.0007% of the 1,624,350 ordered deals, and 24 counting both seat orders, 0.0015%.
A worked example
With $100 from each side, the $200 pot is split on average as $141.32 for AQs and $58.68 for A9s; the first side gains $41.32 per all-in and the second gives up $41.32.
A thousand deals look like this: AQs takes 680, A9s takes 267, 53 are ties.
The same matchup from the other side
A9s against AQs adds nothing new: it is 29.34% for A9s and 70.66% for AQs, the same figures reversed.
Keep exploring
Open the calculator with AsQs against Ah9h already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.
How this was computed
The page is built from a full enumeration: 1,712,304 boards, every suit pattern of the 12 specific deals, both seven-card hands evaluated. A tie is worth half a win to each hand, and a board is tallied under each of its ten possible flops for the texture rows.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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