AQs vs A9s: preflop equity

Counting every board, the equity split is 70.66% for AQs and 29.34% for A9s, so AQs leads by 41.32 points.

AQs

70.66%

Wins 68.00%, ties 5.33%

A9s

29.34%

Wins 26.67%, ties 5.33%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

AQs against A9s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for AQs against A9s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
AQs67.9965.33326.67170.662
A9s26.6715.33367.99629.338

Each side holds one of the suited hands: AQs and A9s. Because the hands share one rank, the one with the higher kicker is ahead when that rank pairs and the other hand is mostly drawing.

That is a clear edge, 70.66% to 29.34%, but A9s still wins often enough that one hand proves nothing. A split pot comes up on 5.33% of boards, so the wins and the equity differ by half of that.

The hand ranking puts AQs at 10 and A9s at 18 out of 169 starting hands.

Boards behind the percentages: 20,547,648 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
AQs13,972,0001,096,0005,480,000
A9s5,480,0001,096,00013,972,000

12 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.

AQs against A9s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
AQs2.4091.4713.7490.415
A9s0.4153.7491.4712.409

The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

The flop changes the picture. AQs does best on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, at 77.00%, and worst on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), at 59.69%. AQs stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

AQs against A9s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsAQs winsTiesA9s winsAQs equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.86775.2933.41921.28877.002
Rainbow, nine or lower7.04257.5554.26838.17759.689
Two-tone46.54368.4503.27528.27570.087
Monotone5.21561.7115.20033.08964.311
Paired17.33362.86213.96923.16969.847

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Start from the random-hand figures, 66.21% for AQs and 62.78% for A9s. This opponent changes them by +4.45 and -33.44 points.

AQs and A9s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
AQs, all flops70.66266.209+4.4531.06726
AQs, rainbow, ten or higher77.00266.209+10.7931.16301
AQs, rainbow, nine or lower59.68966.209-6.5200.90152
AQs, two-tone70.08766.209+3.8781.05857
AQs, monotone64.31166.209-1.8980.97133
AQs, paired69.84766.209+3.6381.05495
A9s, all flops29.33862.781-33.4430.46731
A9s, rainbow, ten or higher22.99862.781-39.7830.36632
A9s, rainbow, nine or lower40.31162.781-22.4700.64209
A9s, two-tone29.91362.781-32.8680.47647
A9s, monotone35.68962.781-27.0920.56847
A9s, paired30.15362.781-32.6280.48029

Does a shared suit matter?

These two classes cannot share a suit in any legal deal, so there is only one row to read: AQs holds 70.66% in every deal of this matchup.

AQs against A9s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsAQs winsTiesA9s winsAQs equity
Share a suit00.00not possiblenot possiblenot possiblenot possible
No shared suit12100.0067.9965.33326.67170.662

How often this matchup comes up

AQs against A9s is made up of 12 specific-card matchups in one seat order, 0.0007% of the 1,624,350 ordered deals, and 24 counting both seat orders, 0.0015%.

A worked example

With $100 from each side, the $200 pot is split on average as $141.32 for AQs and $58.68 for A9s; the first side gains $41.32 per all-in and the second gives up $41.32.

A thousand deals look like this: AQs takes 680, A9s takes 267, 53 are ties.

The same matchup from the other side

A9s against AQs adds nothing new: it is 29.34% for A9s and 70.66% for AQs, the same figures reversed.

Open the calculator with AsQs against Ah9h already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.

How this was computed

The page is built from a full enumeration: 1,712,304 boards, every suit pattern of the 12 specific deals, both seven-card hands evaluated. A tie is worth half a win to each hand, and a board is tallied under each of its ten possible flops for the texture rows.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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