77 vs K9s: preflop equity

If 77 and K9s get all the chips in before the flop, 77 owns 52.88% of the pot in the long run and K9s owns 47.12%.

77

52.88%

Wins 52.66%, ties 0.45%

K9s

47.12%

Wins 46.89%, ties 0.45%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

77 against K9s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for 77 against K9s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
7752.6570.44746.89652.880
K9s46.8960.44752.65747.120

We compare a pocket pair with a suited hand. One hand holds a pair and the other holds two cards that both outrank it, which keeps the equity closer than most people expect.

77 leads by less than 6 points of equity, so the result of any one deal is close to a toss-up. Ties are 0.45% of the outcomes here; each tied board gives both hands half the pot.

In the ranking of all 169 starting hands, 77 is number 9 and K9s is number 29.

Boards behind the percentages: 41,095,296 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
7721,640,000184,00019,272,000
K9s19,272,000184,00021,640,000

The board total is exact, 24 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.

77 against K9s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
771.1221.8992.1320.891
K9s0.8912.1321.8991.122

The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

If you know the kind of flop that came, the numbers shift: 77 holds 62.43% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) and 51.08% on two-tone flops. 77 stays ahead on all five textures.

77 against K9s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flops77 winsTiesK9s wins77 equity
Rainbow, ten or higher25.22051.2350.24248.52351.356
Rainbow, nine or lower5.68962.1500.55437.29662.427
Two-tone46.54550.9400.27948.78151.080
Monotone5.21250.6972.41246.89151.903
Paired17.33456.8070.57042.62357.092

Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Each hand has a baseline against a random hand: 66.24% for 77, 59.99% for K9s. Here the change is -13.36 and -12.87 points.

77 and K9s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
77, all flops52.88066.236-13.3560.79836
77, rainbow, ten or higher51.35666.236-14.8800.77535
77, rainbow, nine or lower62.42766.236-3.8090.94249
77, two-tone51.08066.236-15.1560.77118
77, monotone51.90366.236-14.3330.78361
77, paired57.09266.236-9.1440.86195
K9s, all flops47.12059.988-12.8680.78549
K9s, rainbow, ten or higher48.64459.988-11.3440.81090
K9s, rainbow, nine or lower37.57359.988-22.4150.62634
K9s, two-tone48.92059.988-11.0680.81550
K9s, monotone48.09759.988-11.8910.80178
K9s, paired42.90859.988-17.0800.71528

Does a shared suit matter?

The suit split reads 53.05% for 77 with a shared suit and 52.71% without one. 77 does better with a shared suit, by 0.34 points.

77 against K9s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of deals77 winsTiesK9s wins77 equity
Share a suit1250.0052.8030.48946.70853.048
No shared suit1250.0052.5100.40547.08552.712

How often this matchup comes up

How often does it happen? 24 of the 1,624,350 ordered deals (0.0015%) are 77 against K9s, and 48 (0.0030%) if either hand may sit in either seat.

A worked example

A $100 all-in from each player makes a $200 pot, and the exact equity says 77 gets $105.76 of it on average and K9s gets $94.24.

Out of 1,000 deals you should see around 527 outright wins for 77, 469 for K9s, and 4 split pots.

The same matchup from the other side

The reversed view, K9s against 77, shows 47.12% for K9s and 52.88% for 77. It is the same count, so it redirects here.

Try 7s7h against Kd9d in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.

How this was computed

Nothing here is simulated. The 24 deals of 77 against K9s fall into a few suit patterns, each dealt against all 1,712,304 boards, with both best five-card hands compared on every board. Ties give each hand half a win, and the flop rows count a board under each of its ten flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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