77 vs Q9s: preflop equity

Counting every board, the equity split is 51.30% for 77 and 48.70% for Q9s, so 77 leads by 2.60 points.

77

51.30%

Wins 51.05%, ties 0.51%

Q9s

48.70%

Wins 48.44%, ties 0.51%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

77 against Q9s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for 77 against Q9s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
7751.0500.50648.44451.303
Q9s48.4440.50651.05048.697

One side is a pocket pair, the other is a suited hand. This is a pair against two overcards, a matchup that stays close because the other hand only needs one of its ranks to appear.

With only 2.60 points between them, the board decides this matchup far more than the cards in hand. About 0.51% of boards chop the pot, which is why equity sits slightly above the win figure for both hands.

Among the 169 starting hands, 77 is number 9 and Q9s is number 43 by strength against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 41,095,296 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
7720,979,000208,00019,908,000
Q9s19,908,000208,00020,979,000

24 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.

77 against Q9s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
771.0541.9592.0640.949
Q9s0.9492.0641.9591.054

The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.

Who is ahead on which flops

Low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) are the best for 77 (61.90%); rainbow flops topped by a ten or better are the worst (49.18%). Q9s takes over on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better and two-tone flops, so the favorite before the flop is the underdog on those boards.

77 against Q9s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flops77 winsTiesQ9s wins77 equity
Rainbow, ten or higher25.22049.0380.28950.67349.183
Rainbow, nine or lower5.68961.6330.53937.82861.903
Two-tone46.54549.2270.31550.45849.384
Monotone5.21249.5132.44048.04750.733
Paired17.33455.8610.74543.39456.233

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Each hand has a baseline against a random hand: 66.24% for 77, 57.66% for Q9s. Here the change is -14.94 and -8.96 points.

77 and Q9s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
77, all flops51.30366.236-14.9330.77455
77, rainbow, ten or higher49.18366.236-17.0530.74254
77, rainbow, nine or lower61.90366.236-4.3330.93458
77, two-tone49.38466.236-16.8520.74558
77, monotone50.73366.236-15.5030.76594
77, paired56.23366.236-10.0030.84898
Q9s, all flops48.69757.664-8.9670.84450
Q9s, rainbow, ten or higher50.81757.664-6.8470.88126
Q9s, rainbow, nine or lower38.09757.664-19.5670.66067
Q9s, two-tone50.61657.664-7.0480.87777
Q9s, monotone49.26757.664-8.3970.85438
Q9s, paired43.76757.664-13.8970.75900

Does a shared suit matter?

Looking only at deals where the hands share a suit, 77 has 51.46%; looking only at deals where they do not, 51.15%. 77 does better with a shared suit, by 0.31 points.

77 against Q9s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of deals77 winsTiesQ9s wins77 equity
Share a suit1250.0051.1850.54848.26751.459
No shared suit1250.0050.9150.46548.62051.148

How often this matchup comes up

The class pair covers 24 combinations of specific cards in a fixed seat order, 0.0015% of 1,624,350, and 48 (0.0030%) in either order.

A worked example

With $100 from each side, the $200 pot is split on average as $102.60 for 77 and $97.40 for Q9s; the first side gains $2.60 per all-in and the second gives up $2.60.

A thousand deals look like this: 77 takes 511, Q9s takes 484, 5 are ties.

The same matchup from the other side

One page covers both views. From Q9s' side the equity is 48.70%, and from 77's side it is 51.30%.

The calculator link fills in 7s7h against Qd9d, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.

How this was computed

We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 24 specific 77 against Q9s deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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