86s vs 65s: preflop equity

Averaged over every possible board, 86s is ahead of 65s by 30.40 points of equity, 65.20% to 34.80%.

86s

65.20%

Wins 58.77%, ties 12.86%

65s

34.80%

Wins 28.37%, ties 12.86%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

86s against 65s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for 86s against 65s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
86s58.77212.85628.37265.200
65s28.37212.85658.77234.800

This is a contest between two suited hands, 86s and 65s. The two hands share a rank, and the one with the better other card dominates: it wins most kicker battles when that shared rank hits.

That is a clear edge, 65.20% to 34.80%, but 65s still wins often enough that one hand proves nothing. About 12.86% of boards chop the pot, which is why equity sits slightly above the win figure for both hands.

Place 110 of 169 belongs to 86s and place 128 belongs to 65s in the ranking against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 20,547,648 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
86s12,076,0002,642,0005,830,000
65s5,830,0002,642,00012,076,000

The total is exact: 12 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.

86s against 65s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
86s1.8741.7013.5250.534
65s0.5343.5251.7011.874

In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

By flop texture, 86s' equity runs from 59.72% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) up to 68.15% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better. 86s stays ahead on all five textures.

86s against 65s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flops86s winsTies65s wins86s equity
Rainbow, ten or higher25.84461.91712.46225.62168.148
Rainbow, nine or lower5.06555.3798.68935.93259.723
Two-tone46.54359.14510.77630.07964.533
Monotone5.21554.42611.44534.12960.149
Paired17.33355.38020.66723.95365.714

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Each hand has a baseline against a random hand: 46.24% for 86s, 43.13% for 65s. Here the change is +18.96 and -8.33 points.

86s and 65s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
86s, all flops65.20046.243+18.9571.40994
86s, rainbow, ten or higher68.14846.243+21.9051.47369
86s, rainbow, nine or lower59.72346.243+13.4801.29150
86s, two-tone64.53346.243+18.2901.39552
86s, monotone60.14946.243+13.9061.30072
86s, paired65.71446.243+19.4711.42106
65s, all flops34.80043.133-8.3330.80681
65s, rainbow, ten or higher31.85243.133-11.2810.73846
65s, rainbow, nine or lower40.27743.133-2.8560.93379
65s, two-tone35.46743.133-7.6660.82227
65s, monotone39.85143.133-3.2820.92391
65s, paired34.28643.133-8.8470.79489

Does a shared suit matter?

Every legal deal of 86s against 65s leaves the hands with no suit in common, so the suit split does not apply here.

86s against 65s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of deals86s winsTies65s wins86s equity
Share a suit00.00not possiblenot possiblenot possiblenot possible
No shared suit12100.0058.77212.85628.37265.200

How often this matchup comes up

The class pair covers 12 combinations of specific cards in a fixed seat order, 0.0007% of 1,624,350, and 24 (0.0015%) in either order.

A worked example

Try it with money: two players each put in $100 and the whole board runs out every possible way. 86s averages $130.40 from the $200, up $30.40; 65s averages $69.60, down $30.40.

In 1,000 deals of exactly this matchup, expect about 588 won outright by 86s, about 284 won outright by 65s and about 128 split.

The same matchup from the other side

Swap the hands and you get 65s with 34.80% against 86s with 65.20%. We keep one page per matchup, with the better-ranked hand first.

The calculator link fills in 8s6s against 6h5h, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.

How this was computed

Each figure is a complete count over boards. Take the 12 specific deals, group them by suit pattern, deal all 1,712,304 boards against each, and compare the two seven-card hands. Equity counts a tie as half a win; the flop rows use every one of a board's ten flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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