88
78.71%
Wins 78.23%, ties 0.96%
54s
21.29%
Wins 20.81%, ties 0.96%
88 against 54s: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 78.228 | 0.964 | 20.808 | 78.710 |
| 54s | 20.808 | 0.964 | 78.228 | 21.290 |
One side is a pocket pair, the other is a suited hand. A pair against two lower cards is a lopsided matchup: the pair is ahead and the other hand has no overcard to catch.
That is a clear edge, 78.71% to 21.29%, but 54s still wins often enough that one hand proves nothing. Ties are part of the picture: 0.96% of boards end in a split pot, and each side counts that as half a win.
The hand ranking puts 88 at 7 and 54s at 136 out of 169 starting hands.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 32,148,000 | 396,000 | 8,551,000 |
| 54s | 8,551,000 | 396,000 | 32,148,000 |
24 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 3.697 | 1.278 | 4.806 | 0.270 |
| 54s | 0.270 | 4.806 | 1.278 | 3.697 |
The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
Rainbow flops topped by a ten or better are the best for 88 (82.82%); low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) are the worst (67.71%). 88 stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.
| Flop | Share of flops | 88 wins | Ties | 54s wins | 88 equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 25.844 | 82.525 | 0.582 | 16.893 | 82.816 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 5.065 | 67.351 | 0.718 | 31.931 | 67.710 |
| Two-tone | 46.545 | 76.619 | 0.568 | 22.813 | 76.903 |
| Monotone | 5.212 | 72.198 | 2.676 | 25.126 | 73.536 |
| Paired | 17.334 | 81.132 | 2.153 | 16.715 | 82.208 |
Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.
Compared with a random hand
How much does the opponent matter? Compared with its random-hand 69.16%, 88 changes by +9.55 points, and 54s, from 41.45%, by -20.16.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88, all flops | 78.710 | 69.163 | +9.547 | 1.13804 |
| 88, rainbow, ten or higher | 82.816 | 69.163 | +13.653 | 1.19740 |
| 88, rainbow, nine or lower | 67.710 | 69.163 | -1.453 | 0.97899 |
| 88, two-tone | 76.903 | 69.163 | +7.740 | 1.11191 |
| 88, monotone | 73.536 | 69.163 | +4.373 | 1.06323 |
| 88, paired | 82.208 | 69.163 | +13.045 | 1.18861 |
| 54s, all flops | 21.290 | 41.453 | -20.163 | 0.51359 |
| 54s, rainbow, ten or higher | 17.184 | 41.453 | -24.269 | 0.41454 |
| 54s, rainbow, nine or lower | 32.290 | 41.453 | -9.163 | 0.77895 |
| 54s, two-tone | 23.097 | 41.453 | -18.356 | 0.55719 |
| 54s, monotone | 26.464 | 41.453 | -14.989 | 0.63841 |
| 54s, paired | 17.792 | 41.453 | -23.661 | 0.42921 |
Does a shared suit matter?
The suit split reads 79.27% for 88 with a shared suit and 78.15% without one. 88 does better with a shared suit, by 1.12 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | 88 wins | Ties | 54s wins | 88 equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 12 | 50.00 | 78.763 | 1.006 | 20.231 | 79.266 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 50.00 | 77.692 | 0.922 | 21.386 | 78.153 |
How often this matchup comes up
You will meet this exact matchup 0.0030% of the time in a random heads-up deal: 48 of 1,624,350, counting either seat order.
A worked example
Try it with money: two players each put in $100 and the whole board runs out every possible way. 88 averages $157.42 from the $200, up $57.42; 54s averages $42.58, down $57.42.
Run 1,000 deals and the tally comes out near 782 for 88, 208 for 54s and 10 ties.
The same matchup from the other side
The mirror image, 54s against 88, is 21.29% to 78.71%, and its address redirects to this page.
Keep exploring
The calculator link fills in 8s8h against 5d4d, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.
How this was computed
The page is built from a full enumeration: 1,712,304 boards, every suit pattern of the 24 specific deals, both seven-card hands evaluated. A tie is worth half a win to each hand, and a board is tallied under each of its ten possible flops for the texture rows.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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